How a storm will evolve over the Eastern part of the country Sunday and Mondayremains somewhat of a mystery at this time. We do know, however, that theNortheast will not have a big snowfall through Christmas Day. If the storm iscoming, it will happen in the Sunday-Monday time frame. Last week, we wentthrough the same rigamarole with a storm which caused me a few more grey hairs.Quite frankly, being in this business for 39 years, I am somewhat amazed I haveas much hair as I do.
Though computer models are an excellent tool, that's all they are. We have toread between the lines and dismiss things that seem illogical. Unfortunately,meteorologists have not been given the gift of actually knowing the future inevery detail. So, weather forecasts are built entirely on current conditionsand how that is handled in numerical predictions. If the initial data isfaulty, odds are predictions will also suffer, especially the farther out yougo.
Simply, what I am trying to say is that we have another can of worms here. Abig storm could come right up the coast later Sunday and Monday, dumping heavysnow from Virginia to New England. However, a storm track a bit farther off thecoast is still on the table. If that were to happen, there would be virtuallyno snow at all.
My best shot right now is that there will be a disruptive snowfall Sunday nightand Monday east of the I-81 corridor. To the west, expect nothing more thansome light snow and flurries.
Story by AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.
