So what do we have going on in the tropics right now? It's that tropical wave that is passing by in the vicinity of the Dominican Republic and Haiti.

This disturbed area of weather is drifting toward the northwest and will bring some very heavy showers to the Bahamas within the next 36 hours. Heavy showers will also invade southern Florida late Thursday night and Friday.

This disturbance isn't much to look at right now, but it has a chance to gain some substance over the next 48 hours. I think this will become a named tropical storm before it reaches southern Florida, but the chances of it turning into something more are slim.

This tropical system will get into the northern Gulf of Mexico this weekend, but any impact on the oil spill will be minimal. It will jostle up the Gulf waters a bit and probably cause some squally winds as it passes, but that's about the size of it.

Story by Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.