Idol countdown

We predict how the final 13 will rank.

March 9, 2009 at 10:18PM
"American Idol": Top 13: Bottom row, L-R: Megan Corkrey, Jasmine Murray, Danny Gokey, Alexis Grace, Kris Allen and Michael Sarver. Middle Row L-R: Adam Lambert, Allison Iraheta and Jorge Nunez. Top Row L-R: Matt Giraud, Lil Rounds, Anoop Desai and Scott MacIntyre.
"American Idol": Top 13: Bottom row, L-R: Megan Corkrey, Jasmine Murray, Danny Gokey, Alexis Grace, Kris Allen and Michael Sarver. Middle Row L-R: Adam Lambert, Allison Iraheta and Jorge Nunez. Top Row L-R: Matt Giraud, Lil Rounds, Anoop Desai and Scott MacIntyre. (FOX/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

If you ever doubted that "American Idol" is a soap opera disguised as a talent contest, it will be obvious this year. Even without overwrought Tatiana Del Toro making the cut, season eight's 13 finalists promise plenty of drama and emotion. There is an abundance of story lines with a widower, two single moms, a married mother of three, a blind man and a Puerto Rican college student who bursts into Spanish whenever he gets emotional. Here is a look at the "Idol" finalists, with our early predictions of how they might finish. 1. ADAM LAMBERT

26, theater actor from Los Angeles

Our take: Poised and theatrical, he has a boffo voice and more personality than most musical-theater performers (sans script). If he doesn't go over the top, he is a good bet to be the next American Idol.

2. DANNY GOKEY

28, church music director from Milwaukee

Our take: He sings with his heart and soul. He'll be a sentimental favorite because his wife died four weeks before his audition last year. Voters will remember the dude with the cool eyeglasses.

3. JORGE NUÑEZ

20, college senior from Carolina, Puerto Rico

Our take: He has a gorgeous voice and good instincts on how to make a song his own. He could be a dark horse.

4. LIL ROUNDS

23, customer-service rep from Memphis

Our take: She has the voice of a champion, but does she have the musical savoir faire to stamp her personality on famous tunes?

5. ALLISON IRAHETA

16, high school student from Los Angeles

Our take: She has a strikingly big and potent voice, but will her youth and naivete -- she chose Heart's "Alone," which Carrie Underwood did on "Idol" four years ago -- hurt her or help her?

6. ALEXIS GRACE

21, musician from Memphis

Our take: With her Memphis roots, she's able to pull off the vintage soul/Aretha bit with panache. Now what else can she do?

7. SCOTT MACINTYRE

23, singer/songwriter/pianist from Scottsdale, Ariz.

Our take: If and when he can accompany himself on piano, this blind man will win the hearts of America with his warm and soulful ways.

8. MATT GIRAUD

23, a dueling piano player from Kalamazoo, Mich.

Our take: His strength is interpreting tunes the way Ray Charles -- or Taylor Hicks -- might have. But how much range does this hammy piano man have?

9. ANOOP DESAI

21, graduate student from Chapel Hill, N.C.

Our take: Does he have the vocal chops? Charisma and personality will carry him only so far.

10. MEGAN CORKREY

22, student from Sandy, Utah

Our take: She's so lovably eccentric, preciously pretty and refreshingly modern that judges have refused to criticize her annoying dancing and limited if likable voice. She could last longer than you think.

11. JASMINE MURRAY

16, arts high school student from Starkville, Miss.

Our take: This kid has vocal talent and star potential, but neither the confidence nor experience for this marathon.

12. MICHAEL SARVER

27, oil-rig worker from Jasper, Texas

Our take: Everything about him is likable, but he doesn't have the depth or range to go far against this competition.

13. KRIS ALLEN

23, college student from Conway, Ark.

Our take: How did he make it this far? He may be boyishly handsome, but his musical talents are merely above average.

American Idol contestant Adam Lambert arrives at the American Idol Top 13 Party held at AREA on March 5, 2009 in Los Angeles, California.
American Idol contestant Adam Lambert arrives at the American Idol Top 13 Party held at AREA on March 5, 2009 in Los Angeles, California. (Getty Images/The Minnesota Star Tribune)
about the writer

about the writer

Jon Bream

Critic / Reporter

Jon Bream has been a music critic at the Star Tribune since 1975, making him the longest tenured pop critic at a U.S. daily newspaper. He has attended more than 8,000 concerts and written four books (on Prince, Led Zeppelin, Neil Diamond and Bob Dylan). Thus far, he has ignored readers’ suggestions that he take a music-appreciation class.

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