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As astute commentators have noted, the draft opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization not only seeks to overrule Roe v. Wade, but might also someday threaten other decisions like Obergefell v. Hodges, which secured the right to same-sex marriage. What might be less evident is that the draft opinion has already undermined Obergefell by changing that case's approach to recognizing unwritten rights in the Constitution.
The right to abortion is what's known as an "unenumerated" right, meaning that it has constitutional stature even though no text in the Constitution — short of the abstract "liberty" protected by the 14th Amendment — protects it. The idea of such unwritten rights may seem puzzling, but it's well-established in our constitutional system.
The Ninth Amendment explicitly acknowledges their existence, stating that the "enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people." And the Supreme Court has held that the right to travel across state lines and the right to vote (among many, many others) are constitutional rights even though they're not specified in the text. So the question is not whether unwritten rights will be recognized, but which. And that of course requires the court to tell us how it will distinguish what's in from what's out.
The Dobbs draft opinion takes a remarkably stingy approach to that question. It relies on the 1997 case of Washington v. Glucksberg, which held that the Constitution did not protect the right to physician-assisted suicide. That opinion said that unwritten rights would be recognized only if they were "deeply rooted in this Nation's history and tradition" and "implicit in the concept of ordered liberty." This approach effectively freezes an 18th- or 19th-century understanding of rights in place. The draft opinion's application of this test doomed the right to abortion.
This approach is bizarre because it ignores the changes more recent cases have made to the Glucksberg test. Most prominently, the Obergefell case in 2015 not only made marriage equality the law of the land, but also transformed the role of tradition in discerning unwritten rights. The court rejected the idea that the rights inquiry could be "reduced to any formula." It instead embraced an approach that "respects our history and learns from it without allowing the past alone to rule the present." This shift allowed the justices to recognize same-sex marriage as a fundamental right.
As I wrote at the time, Obergefell's innovation was that it struck the chains of history from the inquiry of which unwritten rights would be recognized. While it did not explicitly overrule the 1997 case, it was manifestly inconsistent with it. As Chief Justice John Roberts' heated dissent in Obergefell observed, "the majority's position requires it to effectively overrule Glucksberg."