Congress has historically low approval ratings. Gridlock and partisanship are the top reason Americans are so critical. But when you look at polls of public attitudes about Congress, the majority hold opinions that would do the least to change this situation they hate so much.
People either want to split party control of Congress, which would perpetuate the current stagnation, or they don't think that a change in congressional control would change anything, which suggests they won't vote because they believe gridlock isn't going away, no matter who is in charge. In a recent Gallup poll, a combined 56 percent of registered voters held those views. In a recent CBS poll of registered voters, 43 percent agreed with the statement, "It makes no real difference which party controls Congress, things go on just as they did before." That's the highest percentage that has responded that way in a CBS poll.
If shaking up things in Washington is all you care about, there is an obvious solution: Vote for a Republican Senate candidate near you. This is not a partisan or ideological pitch. It's simply the only available option this November for voters who are driven by their frustration with inaction.
The House is going to stay in the GOP's hands, which means the two possible outcomes in November are that either things stay the same or Republicans take control of both houses of Congress. We know what the former produces: Bills that pass the House go nowhere in the Senate and vice versa. That is unlikely to change after the elections. The rut is pretty deep, and there would be no new political pressure to break either party out of it. The onset of presidential politics is likely to slow progress further.
For some, this is a fine outcome. The American constitutional system is designed to be slow and frustrating and to seize up now and again. Change for change's sake is like driving off a bridge to get out of traffic; you're not stuck in traffic any more all right.
If you're impatient, though, Republican control would likely give you change. That is what excites and terrifies partisans. The president would immediately have a harder time getting his nominations through the Senate. If a Supreme Court justice retires, it will lead to an epic confirmation battle.
Right now Democrats in the Senate can investigate anything they like. So even if Congress is on course to be one of the least productive in history (based on the number of bills passed into law), Democratic senators can keep the pressure on polluters and low-cost housing landlords and at least raise awareness about the issues they care about. All of that goes away under Republican control when a new batch of committee chairmen schedule hearings devoted to conservative causes. Republican senators would also be able to join their House counterparts in launching investigations of the Obama administration.
For those who don't think much will change no matter who is in control, this won't sound like change. It's just the same partisan battle.