Unlike Minneapolis, the biggest election in St. Paul this year likely won't be the mayoral race, where incumbent Chris Coleman remains the odds-on favorite for a third term.
Instead, the Ward 1 special election to replace outgoing City Council Member Melvin Carter III promises to be more of a spectacle, as eight candidates — ranging from household names in the ward to political novices — square off in St. Paul's most diverse and economically troubled district.
Attention is shifting to the race now that the City Council has appointed Nathaniel Khaliq, a longtime community leader, to hold down the job for four months after Carter leaves next week to take a state job.
The winner of the November election will be sworn into office shortly afterward to fill out the remaining two years of Carter's four-year term.
The all-important DFL endorsing convention for the strongly Democratic ward is four weeks away. Seven of the eight candidates — one Republican joined the field this week — said they plan to seek the party endorsement, although only one asserted he would drop out of the race if he doesn't get it.
Paul Holmgren, who has lived in the ward for more than 30 years, is the lone Republican. Holmgren, who has run for the Legislature, plans to promote job growth by easing regulations and lowering property taxes, St. Paul GOP Chair Greg Copeland said. There are no declared Green Party candidates as yet.
Some candidates already have scored important endorsements. Noel Nix, Carter's council aide, said Thursday that he has won the support of AFSCME Council 5, which represents most city employees, and Teamsters Local 120, the Public Works Department's union. St. Paul Firefighters Local 21 has endorsed community activist and IT manager Dai Thao.
An important variable could be ranked-choice voting, which was introduced in St. Paul only two years ago. In a ward with historically low turnout, that process could catapult a lesser-known candidate with moderate support. But several candidates said that many residents they've seen don't understand how it works or what it means for their vote.