America's swing states, where presidential elections are won and lost, are swinging to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.
Yes, there are still more than 90 days until the election, and anything can happen. But so far she is gaining where it matters most, notably in Florida, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and elsewhere.
"The map is shrinking," said Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion in New York.
The key reason: "This is a race about who you can trust," said Charles Franklin, the director of the Marquette University Law School Poll, which surveys Wisconsin voters.
That means the 15 percent to 20 percent of undecided or independent voters will make up their minds less on ideology or issues than on personality. So far, that gives Clinton an edge. "This whole thing is a character election," said Carter Wrenn, a veteran North Carolina Republican strategist.
The swing states are considered those that have been close in recent elections. They generally include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Virginia. Some analysts add Michigan, New Mexico and Wisconsin.
But this year, Virginia and Colorado are seen as tilting safely Democratic. The Clinton campaign stopped advertising in those states this month.
Clinton edges mean that she can expand the map, said Miringoff. That helps her tie up resources for Trump in states such as Arizona and Georgia, which have been reliably Republican but are now showing signs of Democratic life. "Sometimes you like to fight on battlefields that aren't critical," he said.