Grammy predictions summed up in one word: Adele

The Super Bowl may have been a tough bet, but Sunday night's Grammys are not.

February 11, 2012 at 11:44PM
Adele
Adele (Margaret Andrews — Lauren Dukoff/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

ALBUM OF THE YEAR

Nominees: Adele, "21"; Foo Fighters, "Wasting Light"; Lady Gaga, "Born This Way"; Bruno Mars, "Doo-Wops & Hooligans"; Rihanna, "Loud."

Verdict: Adele's blockbuster reversed the music biz's downward spiral. Bet the house on the deserving "21."

RECORD OF THE YEAR

Nominees: Adele, "Rolling in the Deep"; Bon Iver, "Holocene"; Bruno Mars, "Grenade"; Mumford & Sons, "The Cave"; Katy Perry, "Firework."

Verdict: Adele is rolling in the Grammys. And rightfully so.

SONG OF THE YEAR

Nominees: Kanye West, "All the Lights"; Mumford & sons, "The Cave"; Bruno Mars, "Grenade"; Bon Iver, "Holocene"; Adele, "Rolling in the Deep."

Verdict: I'd vote for Adele's "Someone Like You" but it wasn't nominated. She'll take this trophy anyway.

BEST NEW ARTIST

Nominees: The Band Perry, Bon Iver, J. Cole, Nicki Minaj, Skrillex.

Verdict: Bon Iver is overrated and Minaj is underappreciated. I'd give her the Grammy, but the voters will select crossover country trio the Band Perry.

ALTERNATIVE ALBUM

Nominees: Bon Iver, "Bon Iver"; Death Cab for Cutie, "Codes and Keys"; Foster the People, "Torches"; My Morning Jacket, "Circuital"; Radiohead, "The King of Limbs."

Verdict: A strong case could be made for each, but Monsieur Iver, the pride of Eau Claire, Wis., will pocket the prize.

COUNTRY ALBUM

Nominees: Jason Aldean, "My Kinda Party"; Eric Church, "Chief"; Lady Antebellum, "Own the Night"; George Strait, "Here for a Good Time"; Taylor Swift, "Speak Now."

Verdict: Whoever wins, it won't be an upset. I'd vote for Church or Swift, but the academy members will pick Aldean.

RAP ALBUM

Nominees: Jay-Z & Kanye West, "Watch the Throne"; Lil Wayne, "Tha Carter IV"; Lupe Fiasco, "Lasers"; Nicki Minaj, "Pink Friday"; Kanye West, "My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy."

Verdict: The Grammys didn't show Kanye any love in album of the year, but he'll get honored here -- for his Jay-Z collaboration rather than the superior "Twisted Fantasy."

about the writer

about the writer

Jon Bream

Critic / Reporter

Jon Bream has been a music critic at the Star Tribune since 1975, making him the longest tenured pop critic at a U.S. daily newspaper. He has attended more than 8,000 concerts and written four books (on Prince, Led Zeppelin, Neil Diamond and Bob Dylan). Thus far, he has ignored readers’ suggestions that he take a music-appreciation class.

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