Tropical rains slowing organizing over the western Indian Ocean near the island of Agalega may betide formation of a tropical weather system having potential for serious impact within the next few days.

The area of rain will shift slowly southeastward through at least Sunday leading to outbreaks of heavy, potentially flooding, rains over eastern Madagascar. Local heavy rain may also erupt over the Mascarene Islands of Mauritius and Reunion.

Slow consolidation into a tropical depression and even a tropical cyclone may begin as well. Thus, a tropical cyclone having the potential to threaten either Madagascar or the Mascarene Islands early next week cannot be ruled out.

Story by Senior Meteorologist Jim Andrews