Four Downs while wondering if picking the Vikings to beat a team that doesn't give up is a good idea or not ...
FIRST DOWN:
You can tell a lot about a quarterback by how efficient he is on third downs. Well, the Bills might be 2-9, but Ryan Fitzpatrick, their starting quarterback the past nine games, has performed well on third downs.
He has completed 64.2 percent of his passes (61 of 95) for 829 yards, an 8.73 average per attempt, seven touchdowns, two interceptions and a passer rating of 107.7.
That rating ranks fourth in the league behind only Ben Roethlisberger (115.8), Michael Vick (113.7) and Tom Brady (109.7). It ranks ahead of No. 5 Drew Brees (106.7), No. 6 Matt Ryan (101.2), No. 8 Philip Rivers (90.8), No. 11 Aaron Rodgers (88.5), No. 19 Peyton Manning (74.4) and No. 22 Brett Favre (69.2). The lowest-ranked passer with enough third-down attempts to qualify: Donovan McNabb (53.0). Brees has the most touchdowns on third down (11). The Giants' Eli Manning has the most interceptions on third down (10).
SECOND DOWN:
Speaking of third down, this is why we brought up Fitzpatrick's numbers on third down: The Vikings rank 29th defensively on third downs.
They've given up 66 conversions in 152 attempts for a 43.4 percent success rate for the offense. The best third-down defense belongs to Da Bears (man, did I tick off some Bears fans for having the audacity to say I'm not fully onboard the Chicago bandwagon yet). Chicago is allowing only 30.6 percent of third downs to be converted.