It was announced with fanfare -- Gov. Tim Pawlenty's plan in 2006 to make highly concentrated ethanol fuel available "everywhere" in Minnesota within a few years to reduce gasoline consumption.
But now, with gas prices a torrid issue for voters, the number of Minnesota service stations installing pumps for E85, a blend of 85 percent ethanol and 15 percent gasoline, is far off the pace needed to reach the goal set by Pawlenty.
In a recent interview, the governor tempered his longstanding enthusiasm for corn-based ethanol, a politically potent product in a farm state, but one also blamed for increases in the cost of food.
Tepid consumer demand and perceived roadblocks to wider access to the fuel have been cited as reasons why many station owners are reticent to install E85 pumps, despite the incentive of state subsidies. The shortcomings demonstrate the fragility of any bold predictions on energy.
"That's kind of one of the things politicians do," said Robert Moffitt, a spokesman for the American Lung Association of Minnesota, which helps run the E85 program. "They set lofty goals, aim-at-the-stars type of thing."
To be sure, E85 use continues to rise in Minnesota, where it has long been far more popular than in any other state. Flex-fuel cars, which can run on gasoline or E85, are increasing. And when gas prices are high, owners of flex-fuel vehicles have more of an incentive to buy E85, which can cost 75 cents less per gallon than gas.
But vehicles running on E85 get lower fuel economy than when powered by gasoline, reducing or eliminating the savings from buying the blend. Some drivers report that running on E85 can cost more than running on gas.
The growth in E85 sales in Minnesota has slowed dramatically since Pawlenty announced his push for its expansion, even as gas prices spiked. While sales more than doubled from 2005 to 2006, they increased by only 20 percent in 2007, a year when the state began offering $1.75 million in subsidies to station operators to help offset the cost of installing E85 pumps. Monthly sales are up by about 12 percent so far this year from last year.