Draft deep in Tier II talents will help Wolves

June 16, 2017 at 1:27AM
Florida State's Jonathan Isaac (1) misses his shot covered by Temple's Obi Enechionyia (0) during an NCAA college basketball game in the semifinals of the NIT Season Tip-Off tournament in New York, Thursday, Nov. 24, 2016. (AP Photo/Andres Kudacki)
Clockwise, from top left:   Florida State’s Jonathan Isaac, Kansas Josh Jackson, Kentucky’s De’Aaron Fox, North Carolina State’s Dennis Smith, Duke’s Jayson Tatum, Frank Ntilikina of France, Lauri Markkanen of Arizona and Malik Monk of Kentucky are considered Tier II prospects with potential to become All-Stars by ESPN draft expert Chad Ford. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

We're officially less than one week out from the NBA draft. The mock drafts are ramping up. Most of them are just guesses, and we probably should ignore them. Even if they're educated guesses, they're mostly useless because one unexpected move at the top of the draft can change everything.

There's no real consensus when it comes to the Wolves and the No. 7 pick. Florida State freshman Jonathan Isaac's name comes up a lot, but six other teams will have a crack at him first if they decide that's what they want to do.

Trade speculation is fun, but most of it turns out to be fiction.

So is there any meaningful information even out there as we try to get a handle on the Wolves' situation heading into next week?

Well, thankfully, yes.

ESPN's Chad Ford just released his list of the six tiers of players in this year's draft class — everyone from potential superstars on down. This is not a top-of-the-head mock draft. This is actual information based on his polling of NBA scouts and executives — people who have been evaluating talent for a long time and will have major influence over this year's selections. It's still subjective, of course, but it's far better than a lot of other things you'll find out there on the draft.

And if you're a Wolves fan, it also reveals some very good news.

Only two players are listed in Tier I, the potential superstars — point guards Markelle Fultz (Washington) and Lonzo Ball (UCLA).

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But that's actually a lot, since Ford notes that since he started doing the pre-draft tiers in 2009 only six other players have been Tier 1 players (including current Wolves players Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins).

More importantly to the Wolves: eight more players are listed in Tier II, defined as potential all-stars. Ford notes that it is "the largest Tier 2 we've ever had" and adds that "having 10 players in the first two tiers is extraordinary for a draft class."

The eight Tier II players are: the aforementioned Isaac; De'Aaron Fox of Kentucky; Josh Jackson of Kansas; Lauri Markkanen of Arizona; Malik Monk of Kentucky; Frank Ntilikina from France; Dennis Smith of North Carolina State; and Jayson Tatum of Duke.

You'll see three or four of those players regularly linked to the Wolves in mock drafts. What really matters is this: The people evaluating this draft think there are 10 players who have the potential to be all-stars (or better), and the Wolves will be able choose from a bunch of them.

This doesn't happen every year. Sometimes a draft goes five players deep and the No. 7 pick is nothing more than an optimistic wish. That doesn't appear to be the case this year.

Likewise, if the Wolves decide they have enough young talent and want to turn the No. 7 pick into a trade asset, they should find no shortage of teams coveting players available at that spot. That's the kind of leverage you don't always get with that draft slot.

None of this guarantees the Wolves will make the right decision or that all 10 players will, indeed, pan out. What it does mean is that going into the draft, the Wolves should feel good about their options regardless of what happens with the first six picks.


Kentucky guard De'Aaron Fox plays against UCLA in the first half of an NCAA college basketball tournament South Regional semifinal game Friday, March 24, 2017, in Memphis, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey) ORG XMIT: TNMS
Kentucky guard De’Aaron Fox plays against UCLA in the first half of an NCAA college basketball tournament South Regional semifinal game Friday, March 24, 2017, in Memphis, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey) ORG XMIT: TNMS (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Kansas guard Josh Jackson (11) shouts next to Purdue forward Caleb Swanigan (50) in the second half during the Sweet Sixteen round of the NCAA Tournament at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Mo., on Thursday, March 23, 2017. Kansas advanced, 98-66. (Shane Keyser/Kansas City Star/TNS) ORG XMIT: 1199501
Kansas guard Josh Jackson (11) shouts next to Purdue forward Caleb Swanigan (50) in the second half during the Sweet Sixteen round of the NCAA Tournament at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Mo., on Thursday, March 23, 2017. Kansas advanced, 98-66. (Shane Keyser/Kansas City Star/TNS) ORG XMIT: 1199501 (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Arizona forward Lauri Markkanen (10) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Colorado, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2017, in Tucson, Ariz. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
Arizona forward Lauri Markkanen (10) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Colorado, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2017, in Tucson, Ariz. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri) (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Kentucky's Malik Monk (5) reacts after hitting a three-pointer against Wichita State on March 19, 2017, in Indianapolis. (Sam Riche/TNS) ORG XMIT: 1203678
Kentucky’s Malik Monk (5) reacts after hitting a three-pointer against Wichita State on March 19, 2017, in Indianapolis. (Sam Riche/TNS) ORG XMIT: 1203678 (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
NANTERRE, JANUARY 10 : SIG ' s Ntilikina Frank (17),left,drives past JSF ' s Campbell T.J (44),right in the 2nd half of an LNB Pro A basketball game , JSF Nanterre vs SIG Strasbourg,held at Maurice Thorez stadium on January 10, 2015 Nanterre, France./COLLOT_1014.097/Credit:Henri Collot/SIPA/1601111154 (Sipa via AP Images) ORG XMIT: FRSPA
NANTERRE, JANUARY 10 : SIG ‘ s Ntilikina Frank (17),left,drives past JSF ‘ s Campbell T.J (44),right in the 2nd half of an LNB Pro A basketball game , JSF Nanterre vs SIG Strasbourg,held at Maurice Thorez stadium on January 10, 2015 Nanterre, France./COLLOT_1014.097/Credit:Henri Collot/SIPA/1601111154 (Sipa via AP Images) ORG XMIT: FRSPA (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
N.C. State's Dennis Smith Jr. (4) reacts following a basket against Duke during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in Durham, N.C., Monday, Jan. 23, 2017. North Carolina State won 84-82. (AP Photo/Gerry Broome)
N.C. State’s Dennis Smith Jr. (4) reacts following a basket against Duke during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in Durham, N.C., Monday, Jan. 23, 2017. North Carolina State won 84-82. (AP Photo/Gerry Broome) (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Duke forward Jayson Tatum (0) reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against the North Carolina during the semifinals of the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament, Friday, March 10, 2017, in New York. Duke won 93-83.(AP Photo/Julie Jacobson) ORG XMIT: NYJJ114
Duke forward Jayson Tatum (0) reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against the North Carolina during the semifinals of the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament, Friday, March 10, 2017, in New York. Duke won 93-83.(AP Photo/Julie Jacobson) ORG XMIT: NYJJ114 (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
about the writer

about the writer

Michael Rand

Columnist / Reporter

Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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