Douglas: Some winter storms just sneak up on you

Columnist Icon
The Minnesota Star Tribune
December 28, 2025 at 8:38PM

Well, that escalated quickly. My weather column in Friday’s Minnesota Star Tribune said an inch of snow on Sunday. Saturday, I predicted plowable snow for Sunday. Sunday’s paper inflated the forecast to 5 to 8 inches. What happened, Paul?

We try to set expectations for big storms days in advance, wary of being accused of “hyping the weather.” So it’s always a delicate balancing act. What looked like a dry but windy cold frontal passage in the middle of last week mutated into a Sunday blizzard as weather models finally caught up. Merging jet stream energy; a slower, wetter, more intense storm.

Weather prediction is always a humbling endeavor. One big takeaway: There will be scenarios where we can provide (confident) 3- to 4-day lead times. Other patterns allow only one or two days’ advance notice. No one wants a “surprise blizzard.”

Travel should slowly improve on Monday as winds ease up by the afternoon. A clipper may drop 1 to 2 inches of snow on New Year’s Eve. Great timing. Highs poke into the 20s by the end of this week, our new definition of “warm front.” Enjoy the snow!

about the writer

about the writer

Paul Douglas

Columnist

Paul Douglas is a nationally-respected meteorologist, with 40 years of broadcast television and radio experience. He provides daily print and online weather services for the Star Tribune.

See Moreicon