Hiring has gone the way of the weather in Dakota County.
It's frozen.
With the state budget $5.2 billion in the red and the county's $9 million December state aid payment suddenly in question, county staff members told Dakota County commissioners on Tuesday that what had been a "soft freeze" would become a full freeze, at least through January when Gov. Tim Pawlenty presents his proposed budget.
County officials say the idea is to soften the blow, and not dip too far into county budget reserves, in order to best manage likely cuts in state aid to counties in 2009 and beyond.
Based on experience -- mostly the hits the county took during the 2003 state budget crunch -- Dakota County could lose $2.5 to $3 million for every $100 million the state cuts. By that estimate, the county could easily be out $13 million, about a one-fifth of its current state funding per year, starting in 2009.
"This is far worse than 2003, I think, by any measure," Dakota County Administrator Brandt Richardson said. "I'm very concerned, frankly."
In 2008, about $60 million of the county's $252 million operating budget came from the state.
The $9 million December payment, the second of two annual payments the county already included in its 2008 budget, is the first concern. As state officials seek ways to remedy an initial $426 million shortfall by June 2009, trimming the December local government aid payments is one option. Pawlenty could opt to "unallot" the payments before they are due Dec. 26.