The favorites
Bernhard Langer
Why he'll win: Two-time champion (2009, '12) thrives on this course. Third in Schwab Cup standings, Langer has the most to gain with the top two Champions Tour players (Colin Montgomerie, Jeff Maggert) not in the field.
Why he won't: Fatigue. Langer played in the British Open and Senior British Open in back-to-back weeks six time zones away before coming to the 3M.
Kenny Perry
Why he'll win: The defending champion is rested. Perry has been idle since July 12, and he figures to use that extra energy to improve on a Champions Tour-best driving average of 298.8 yards.
Why he won't: No player in the event's 22-year history has successfully defended the championship. Tom Kite came the closest when he finished fifth in 2004.
Marco Dawson
Why he'll win: Momentum. Dawson won the Senior British Open last week, his second victory. In 12 events this season he's earned more money than he did in any one full season on the PGA Tour.