Brett Favre knew exactly what many were thinking after seeing him throw two third-quarter interceptions in the Vikings' 30-17 loss Sunday at Arizona. "I'm sure people are saying - you guys may have already said it - 'Well, here we go. Now, it's December,'" the quarterback said.
Favre, 40, was making a reference to the fact that in recent years his performance has fallen off late in the season, and he's right, it's hard not to think about that given that statistics back up that point. As former Star Tribune Vikings writer and current ESPN NFC North blogger Kevin Seifert detailed in May, Favre's numbers have dipped sharply in the final five games since 2005.
An argument could be made that last season shouldn't count because Favre was dealing with a partially torn biceps tendon in his right (throwing) arm. That could have explained why he went from having a completion percentage of 70.6 with 20 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in games one through 11 with the Jets to having a 56.1 completion percentage with two touchdowns and nine picks in the games 12 through 16.
But that doesn't explain why in 2007, a season the Packers went 13-3 and made it to the NFC title game, Favre posted a 68.5 completion percentage with 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions in the first 11 games but then followed that with a 59.1 completion percentage with six touchdowns and seven interceptions in the final five regular-season games.
In fairness to Favre, he had been playing well beyond anyone's expectations before Sunday and certainly can't be criticized for having one mediocre to below average game. The Vikings laid a collective egg at Arizona and Favre was asked to guide an offense that never found a rhythm. He completed 30 of 45 passes for 275 yards with two touchdowns, two picks and was sacked three times.
The criticism of Favre in December is actually twofold. One factor is that his performance as a whole has tailed off and the other is that many believe he is no longer the dynamic cold-weather quarterback who once dominated opponents at Lambeau Field. Truthfully, the second factor shouldn't be that big of deal. Favre plays his home games indoors and the only true cold-weather game on the Vikings schedule will be Dec. 28 in Chicago.
The Vikings could have the NFC North locked up by that point so getting hung up on how Favre plays in cold weather is probably a waste of time. Keep in mind, all signs indicate the road to the NFC title will go through New Orleans and its domed stadium.
Asked about the perception that he struggles in December, Favre said: "If we were playing outside today I probably wouldn't be to effective. Sixty-mile-per hour winds, blizzard conditions probably don't help. I wasn't as effective last year. The year before, the last pass I threw against the Giants wasn't very good. [Corey Webster's interception of Favre set up a field goal that gave New York the victory in the NFL title game.] But I thought up until that play it was a pretty good year. We played in the snow the week before against Seattle [in the playoffs] and I had one of my better games.