Among the questions suddenly brought to the fore by Joe Biden's victory is this constitutional brainteaser: Can President Donald Trump pardon himself?
The short answer is probably not. But before I explain that, we need to contend with a number of preliminary issues.
Start here: If Trump tries a self-pardon, don't expect a full answer on the question of its legality any time in the next four years. That's because a final determination would have to be made by the courts.
First, Trump would have to issue himself a pardon — not unlikely but also not certain — then Biden and his attorney general would have to decide to prosecute Trump on one or another federal crime (something they would not do unless they had concluded that self-pardon would prove to be unconstitutional). Ultimately, a federal indictment would send the matter on its way to the Supreme Court.
It's entirely possible, of course, that Trump has committed federal crimes in the last four years, but would any of them rise to a level that would cause Biden to put the country through the convulsions that a criminal trial of the former president would entail? It would deeply aggravate partisan wounds, as well as threaten Biden's already tenuous political position as president of all the people. Biden is a healer who wants to get things done; prosecuting Trump undermines both those goals sharply.
Moreover, the federal government needn't prosecute Trump to secure a modicum of justice for his criminal conduct. Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance Jr. has been developing a criminal investigation of Trump for a welter of state tax, fraud and financial crimes. The investigation is moving forward apace; Vance is likely to reach charging decisions within a few months. And because a president can't pardon himself (or anyone) for state crimes, his Article II powers would have no effect.
In fact, if Trump is smart, he might stay his hand because last year New York changed its laws just with him in mind. The state's double jeopardy rules used to prohibit the prosecution of someone for conduct that was the subject of a federal pardon. No longer — expressly because of Trump's corrupt and pernicious use of the pardon power. Should the president pardon himself, it would be a poke in the eye with a sharp stick in New York, an invitation for Vance to double down.
So now to the constitutional question, which as I say will almost certainly remain academic. It does present a puzzle. It's a little like the question my Catholic friends used to pose to flummox the nuns: If God is all powerful, can he make a rock so heavy that he himself cannot lift it?