I feel like I'm recycling old posts, but the Gophers (12-7, 3-4 Big Ten) are in a must-win situation against Northwestern (14-5, 3-5 Big Ten) at Williams Arena Tuesday night.
But this must-win is different than the one they encountered Saturday against Michigan State.
That loss was Minnesota's best opportunity to score a huge quality win that could've anchored their NCAA tournament resume and revived their shot at the Big Dance. But the Spartans have beaten a lot of teams, so it's not that the Gophers will get punished for the loss, but they might be kicking themselves at the end of the year because of what they could've had with a little more discipline down the stretch Saturday.
The Gophers are playing a good Northwestern team. But the Wildcats are stuck in the same pool of Big Ten mediocrity that the Gophers have been swimming in all season. They can't lose to another 3-4 team at home.
Northwestern might make a push and end the season strong. So Tuesday night's matchup could weigh a lot more in March. But if the Wildcats continue their up-and-down ways, there's also chance that it could really hurt the Gophers if they lose.
Minnesota faces Ohio State and Penn State on the road in their next two games. Ohio State's a different ball club compared the one that the Gophers defeated earlier this month. And it's hard to come away with a win in Columbus.
Under Tubby Smith, the Gophers have struggled in State College, Pa. They barely pulled out a victory in Smith's first year. And last season, Penn State dominated Minnesota. I know the Nittany Lions aren't playing very well right now, but there are no guarantees on the road, especially for a team that lost at Indiana.
Their three opponents after that ... Michigan (home, bad matchup, swept the Gophers a year ago), Northwestern (road, 10-3 so far in Evanston, beat the Gophers there last year) and Wisconsin (home, rivalry game, tough Badgers squad).