More people who trade in their car when buying a new vehicle are "upside down," meaning that they owe more on their old auto loan than the car is worth, the automobile website Edmunds.com says.
Edmunds estimates that 32 percent of trade-ins for new-car purchases in the first nine months of this year had "negative equity," up from 30 percent for the same period last year. The upside-down shoppers had average negative equity of more than $4,800 at the time of trade-in, which Edmunds said is the highest since it began tracking such data in 2002.
About a quarter of trade-ins from shoppers buying used cars also had negative equity, averaging $3,600, Edmunds said.
Being upside down on a car loan is akin to being underwater on a mortgage, in that the asset securing the debt is worth less than the loan. Say that you owe $20,000 on a car now valued at $18,000. That means you have negative equity of $2,000. If you trade in your vehicle for a new car, you must make up that $2,000 somehow — either by writing a check or rolling the amount into your loan on the new car. It will then take longer to build equity in the new loan, too, meaning you could get stuck in a cycle of loans with negative equity.
Several factors are converging to create negative equity, said Ron Montoya, senior consumer advice editor with Edmunds. New cars have always lost value quickly; it begins as soon as they are driven off the dealer's lot. But now, as cars have become more expensive, auto loans are several years longer than they once were. The average new-car loan for borrowers with good credit is now 68 months — 5 ½ years — while the average used-car loan is 63 months, according to data from Experian Automotive.
"It's a symptom of long-term loans," Montoya said.
The estimated average new-car price was nearly $35,000 in October, up more than 2 percent from a year earlier, according to Kelley Blue Book. And the average loan amount for a new car was about $30,000, up from nearly $29,000 a year earlier, second-quarter data from Experian showed.
Longer loans help keep monthly payments lower and enable borrowers to afford a more expensive car. But the long-term loans also mean it takes more time to build equity. And since buyers might tire of their cars after a few years, they are more likely to be upside down, should they decide to buy a new car halfway through their loan.