The stubbornly low number of female computer science students in the United States has generated a pile of academic studies, ample hand-wringing and a wide-ranging discussion in tech and education circles about what can be done to boost the number of women choosing computing careers.
All of which raises a fair question: What difference does it make if women don't join the tech workforce in the same numbers that men do?
It turns out it makes a huge difference. The dearth of women in computing has the potential to slow the U.S. economy, which needs more students in the pipeline to feed its need for more programmers. It harms women by excluding them from some of the best jobs in the country. And it damages U.S. companies, which studies show would benefit from more diverse teams.
"Today, two and a half billion people are connected to the Internet," said David Culler, chairman of the University of California, Berkeley's Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences Department. "There are more cellphone users than toothbrush users. You look at how intrinsic information technology is to all aspects of society and all aspects of modern life. Would you want any demographic group to be left out of shaping something that is so important to our future?"
The damage starts with a problem that is already being confronted by the tech industry and other companies that rely on computing talent: The economy is creating far more computing jobs than U.S. schools are creating computer science graduates.
True, not all computer scientists work in computing jobs and not all computing jobs are filled by computer scientists, but the mismatch illustrates the potential problem. Based on current trends, U.S. universities will produce about 400,000 computer scientists between 2010 and 2020, a decade during which 1.4 million U.S. computing jobs will open up, leaving a gap of about 1 million computing jobs. Together those 1 million jobs would pay $500 billion in wages, according to Hadi Partovi, co-founder of Code.org, a nonprofit working to encourage computer science education in K-12 schools.
Without U.S. workers to fill those jobs, employers will face three choices: export the work, import the workers or leave the positions empty.
'Rosie the Riveter moment'
But where some see a problem, people like Jocelyn Goldfein see a historic opportunity.