From military veterans to medical device companies, from retirees on Social Security to pizzeria owners, legions of Minnesotans are coming to the Legislature for tax cuts.
The pilgrimage to the Capitol happens every year, but this time, it's different.
For the first time since Jesse Ventura was governor, the state faces a new budget year flush with a surplus expected to hit $1.9 billion. That has prompted dozens of interest groups to propose all manner of tax cuts and credits on everything from gold coins to child car seats, from gym memberships to cigarettes and modular housing.
House Republicans, fresh off their 2014 election victory, are devising ways to return some — if not all — of the money to taxpayers. Because an across-the-board income or sales tax cut would be too expensive and rejected by Gov. Mark Dayton and the DFL-controlled Senate, the House is hearing proposals for cuts targeted at specific industries and constituents, many of whom find their home in the Republican Party.
Locking in the tax cuts now would have policy ramifications for years, even decades. Tax credits and cuts, once given, are difficult to rescind, as the recipients learn to fiercely protect them with lobbyists and grass-roots pressure. By the same token, new programs like Dayton's proposed universal pre-K also are difficult to cut once they've been established.
That's why, despite the surplus, this year's legislative session could see fierce budget battles between Democrats wanting to secure new programs for important DFL constituencies like the teachers union, and Republicans hoping to cordon off money for favored taxpayers.
Little changes, big impact
Many of the proposals are small, but some — including cutting taxes on Social Security benefits or inherited wealth — are not. And they can balloon over time. A Social Security benefits tax cut would grow from $38 million next year to $194 million in 2019, with continued growth after that, both because the cut is phased-in and because of the aging population.
Rep. Greg Davids, R-Preston, chairman of the House Taxes Committee, estimates that $9 billion in new spending and tax cuts have been proposed as of last week — $7 billion more than the expected surplus.