Each team's fate is forecast by how it slots into the NHL's hierarchy, a snapshot that can change daily and yet is the most reliable gauge.
But there is another barometer.
Decisionmaking at the trade deadline.
The contenders usually add and the bottom-feeders subtract to recoup assets for the future, with this trend already emerging before the window closes at 2 p.m. Central time Monday. Playoff-bound groups like the Penguins and Flyers have improved, while the Senators and Rangers are purging their rosters as their seasons approach a finite expiration date.
Not every team with a chance to contend, though, could end up as an active buyer.
A case could certainly be made to keep a lineup intact that has succeeded enough to be in the hunt at the end of February, and chemistry will be considered by Wild brass as it approaches the deadline.
"We're trending in the right direction," General Manager Chuck Fletcher said. "You can't always look outside your group for answers. Sometimes you need to allow your group time to come together and continue to play, particularly if there's upside within your group. And I think that's always gotta be a discerning factor."
The team's recent surge, which included sweeping its three-game road trip through New York and New Jersey, hasn't changed management's outlook on the deadline.