Vikings playoff scenarios: Yes, the Vikings could still win homefield advantage

December 11, 2017 at 1:24PM
Vikings Adam Thielen breaks away from Panthers Daryl Worley and picks up 7 yards on the play in the 4th quarter. ] Minnesota Vikings vs Carolina Panthers - Bank of America Stadium
BRIAN PETERSON ï brian.peterson@startribune.com
Charlotte, NC 12/10/2017
Vikings Adam Thielen breaks away from Panthers Daryl Worley and picks up 7 yards on the play in the 4th quarter. BRIAN PETERSON ï brian.peterson@startribune.com Charlotte, NC 12/10/2017 (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

The Vikings (10-3) will win the NFC North if…

They beat the Bengals next Sunday at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The Vikings will get the NFC's No. 1 seed if…

They win their remaining three games (vs. Cincinnati, at Green Bay, vs. Chicago) and Philadelphia (11-2) loses at least two of its remaining three games (at New York Giants, vs. Oakland, vs. Dallas). If Philadelphia loses out and Carolina (9-4) loses once more, the Vikings could go 2-1 and still claim home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. If Philadelphia wins its next two games, the Vikings can't claim the No. 1 seed, since they'd lose the common-opponents tiebreaker with the Eagles.

The Vikings will get the No. 2 seed if…

They have one fewer loss than the Panthers (9-4), since Carolina is the contender below the Vikings holding the tiebreaker. However, Carolina would need to win the NFC South. If the Vikings get to 12 wins, they'll knock New Orleans (9-4) and the Los Angeles Rams (9-4) out of contention for the No. 2 seed. At that point, Carolina's record is the only potential pitfall to losing a first-round bye in the playoffs. By virtue of conference records, the Vikings and Eagles would win a three-way tie for first-round byes between 12-4 Eagles, Panthers and Vikings teams.

The Vikings will get the No. 3 or No. 4 seed if…

They go 1-2 in the final three games, finishing 11-5, and get leapfrogged by the Panthers, Saints and/or Rams. If the Vikings go 0-3, they could still win the NFC North if the Packers (7-6) and Detroit Lions (7-6) both lose again. By virtue of conference records, the Vikings and Eagles would win a three-way tie for first-round byes between 12-4 Eagles, Panthers and Vikings teams.

For more on NFL tie-breaking procedures, click here

ANDREW KRAMMER

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