The Vikings (11-3) will get the NFC’s No. 1 seed if…

They win their remaining two games (at Green Bay, vs. Chicago) and the Eagles (12-2) lose their final two games (vs. Oakland, vs. Dallas). Philadelphia clinches the NFC’s No. 1 seed with a win against the Raiders next week.

 

The No. 2 seed if…

They beat the Packers and Bears, securing a first-round bye. If the Vikings go 1-1 in the final two games to finish 12-4, they need to avoid a tie with a potential NFC South-champion Panthers (10-4) team, which owns the head-to-head tiebreaker. The Vikings will win head-to-head ties over the Saints (10-4) and Rams (10-4).

 

The No. 3 seed if...

They go 1-1 and lose the first-round bye to the Panthers, who need to win out (vs. Tampa, at Atlanta) and have the Saints lose once for Carolina to win its division. Then the 12-win Panthers would leap the Vikings for the NFC’s No. 2 seed. If the Vikings go 0-2 in the final two games, they could be leapt by either the Rams or Saints, who both need to win out for a shot at a first-round bye.

 

The No. 4 seed if...

They go 0-2 and get leapt in the standings by the Rams and either the Saints or Panthers.

According to the website fivethirtyeight.com, the Vikings have a 91 percent chance of getting a first-round bye.