We're not sure how much of this is belief on the part of the author or the need to fill space as we march toward the Wild Card weekend, but SI.com's Greg Bedard notes that in every year for the past decade, at least one NFL team with a playoff bye has lost its first playoff game — and he thinks the Packers (along with the Broncos) are ripe for a quick exit.

It seems to be contingent on the Packers playing the Cowboys — not a given since the matchups have to line up and Dallas still needs to defeat the Lions in the opening round — but here's what he wrote:

Since the Thanksgiving blowout loss against the Eagles, the Cowboys are scoring an average of 41.3 points and allowing 19.8, and a lot of the games haven't been that close. Dallas' defense (22nd in DVOA) would certainly have problems stopping Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' high-octane offense, but the ultimate antidote is a ball-control offense. Few teams can control the clock like the Cowboys, thanks to an outstanding offensive line and running back DeMarco Murray. … Add in the Dallas passing game (Tony Romo finished with a higher passer rating and completion percentage than Rodgers) and the fact that the Cowboys were a perfect 8-0 on the road this season, including a victory at Seattle, and the setup is there for a tremendous matchup, if not an outright upset, if the two teams meet at Lambeau Field.

Indeed, that would be the most intriguing matchup of the divisional round if it came to fruition. And it would be no sure thing, at the very least, that Aaron Rodgers would finally move out of his tie with Daunte Culpepper for career playoff victories (one) at Lambeau Field.