Three observations ... • If the Jaguars beat the Colts on Sunday, it will mark the eighth consecutive season that an NFL team has gone from worst to first within its division. The Saints did it last year while winning the Super Bowl.

• If the Patriots beat the Packers Sunday night, Bill Belichick will move past Mike Holmgren into 10th place in career coaching victories with 175. Belichick is 174-99 (.637), including playoffs.

• Rams QB Sam Bradford needs 116 yards passing to become just the third rookie in league history to pass for 3,000 yards. Peyton Manning had 3,739 in 1998. Matt Ryan had 3,440 in 2008.

Two predictions

• The Colts will hold off the Jaguars at home, knotting the AFC South race heading into the final two weeks.

• The Rams will move closer to a worst-to-first turnaround by beating the Chiefs while Seattle loses to Atlanta.