There's a magic number in Scott Christensen's head at the beginning of every spring season. The Stillwater boys' track and field coach has kept records from the past 25 state championship meets, and almost all of the data implies the same thing: A team needs to score 70 points in order to take the state title.
Christensen, who has been at the school for more than 30 years, owns multiple state championships. After doing some number crunching, the Ponies' coach is confident they can win it all this season.
"If you get to 70 points, you're going to win 19 out of 20 years," Christensen said. "This whole program is based on history and evidence and performance. There's no opinion involved. It's hard evidence; it's science."
Last season Stillwater finished the state championships with 48 points, good for fifth place. The core of athletes from that team returns, suggesting Stillwater could yield a better result this June.
If that happens, it will likely be in large part because of the efforts of senior Isaac Hale. The versatile athlete is a standout in the high jump and runs in the 4x400 meter relay. He also is one of the team's top pole vaulters.
"I kind of pride myself on being a jack of all trades," Hale said. "I'm guessing I'll probably score most of my points in high jump."
Christensen said he expects Hale to produce 12 or 13 points in the state meet, based on how his current marks compare to results from previous years. He's never reached more than 6 feet, 5 inches in the high jump but hopes to clear 6-8 in his final high school season.
"If I really apply myself I think I can do it," Hale said. "It's really important to get it nailed down, to know exactly how well we need to perform. It's just good to have it all planned out before the actual meet, because it takes a lot of pressure off."