State officials are nearing the politically sensitive point of establishing a threshold for how far the water line of a lake or a stream can drop before they step in and limit pumping of groundwater nearby.
The issue is highly charged because, as Jason Moeckel, section chief for the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources (DNR) put it at a meeting Friday, "the reality is, we don't reduce our use of water when things are dry, we increase our use."
Twenty-five groups that could be affected, notably golf courses and farmers who irrigate, have been working on a proposed solution.
A DNR report is due out next month, Moeckel told the gathering at the agency's headquarters in St. Paul that included water experts from the public and private sector in the highly affected northeast metro area who follow the increasingly testy issue.
A draft of the report warns:
"In recent years, it has become increasingly clear that Minnesota's water resources, while still abundant in many areas, are not unlimited. Water supplies are at risk of overuse in some locations, and poor water quality limits access in others."
The poster child for the problem is White Bear Lake, where levels have dropped dramatically in recent years, leading to intense battles over who's at fault and what should be done to fix it.
Indeed, questions on Friday came first from Jane Harper, of the White Bear Lake Conservation District, and Jim Markoe, of the White Bear Lake Homeowners Association, who asked whether climate change needs to be factored in.