The right to an abortion had a series of boulders dropped on its head these last few weeks as extreme laws banning abortion were enacted in seven states.
But the sky has not fallen. Not completely.
Abortion will remain available in the United States, and that's true even if the new conservative justices — think of them as the bad boys of the Supreme Court — respond to these harsh new laws by eviscerating Roe vs. Wade.
The truth is, Roe was crippled long ago. In 1992, the Supreme Court decision in Planned Parenthood vs. Casey severely shrank women's rights by allowing states to restrict access to abortion, as long as the rules they put in place didn't amount to an "undue burden."
Antiabortion legislation came like a hailstorm: red, purple and even blue states erected obstacles such as requiring women to make multiple trips to a clinic, get unnecessary and sometimes invasive ultrasounds, or listen to demoralizing state-scripted lectures from doctors. These barriers were often insurmountable for those already on the margins: young women, rural women, poor women.
Access to later-term abortions has become increasingly rare. Hostile states have increased the bureaucratic burdens associated with abortion, driving up clinic costs and discouraging doctors, or simply harassing providers out of business, as we've seen recently in Missouri. The result is a dramatically limited availability of abortion services in all but the most heavily populated regions.
But the attacks on Roe aren't the last word. The 1973 decision raised the floor of federal abortion rights; it did not set the ceiling of rights states can offer. Many states had legalized abortion well before Roe. The court expanded federal privacy rights, which emanate like a halo from the Bill of Rights, that had been recognized less than a decade earlier to enable access to contraception for married couples. Overturning Roe will not criminalize abortion at the federal level; it will remove federal protection for abortion rights, leaving each state to decide the issue for itself.
Yes, some states would likely criminalize abortion. Women in those states would be forced to travel far from home to terminate a pregnancy, which could put their health at risk and would increase the cost to them. Ireland last year voted to legalize abortion, putting a stop to women being forced to travel abroad, to England or elsewhere, for abortion services. Requiring American women to travel state to state would be retrograde and stigmatizing.