For all of the hoopla around those predawn Black Friday lines, fewer shoppers hit the malls and retail websites over the long holiday weekend compared with last year, according to the industry's largest trade group.
But forecasts remain on target for a big season ahead.
The National Retail Federation (NRF) said this week that 165 million people made purchases in stores or online between Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday, down from 174 million a year ago.
Shoppers spent a bit less as well: an average of $313.29 on gifts and holiday items during the five-day holiday period, down from $335.47 last year.
The industry group remains undeterred about the drop, however. It is banking that low unemployment, rising wages and deep discounts and perks by retailers will deliver a 4.9 percent sales lift in November and December, the largest since the end of the Great Recession.
"There is a lot more spending to come," NRF spokesman Bill Thorne said in a call with reporters.
A twist of the calendar means there are five weekends and 32 days between Thanksgiving and Christmas this year. NRF and other analysts suspect that consumers felt less pressure to jump on the deals at the starting gate.
"When people are struggling they're going to take first and full advantage when they can," Thorne said. "When they're not struggling, when the economy is good, they're going to space it out further than they normally would if it was a tougher economy."