Rand: NBA draft simpler than NFL's to decipher in first round

As great as it is, the NFL draft is also unwieldy.

April 11, 2013 at 6:44AM
Indiana guard Victor Oladipo (4), center, goes to the floor for the ball between Syracuse center Baye Keita (12) and Syracuse forward C.J. Fair (5) in the first half of an NCAA Tournament East Regional semifinal at the Verizon Center in Washington, D.C., Thursday, March 28, 2013. (Mark Gail/MCT) ORG XMIT: 1136793 ORG XMIT: MIN1303282244542514
Indiana’s Victor Oladipo fell down for a loose ball against Syracuse. The Wolves should draft him if he’s available. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

The NFL draft is an awesome spectacle. The three-day affair — yes, three days — starts in a couple of weeks. Some day, if this keeps up, every non-gameday in the NFL will be used for part of a 300-plus-day draft.

As great as it is, the NFL draft is also unwieldy. The Vikings will select SEVERAL players who will send fans toward immediate Google searches. In the first round, with two picks, there are many dozens of players they could end up choosing.

But the NBA draft? Short and sweet — with just a handful of plausible scenarios. Here is the best and worst of what could happen to the Timberwolves in the first round of the June 27 NBA draft:

• Best case: The Wolves are lottery winners, jump somewhere into the top three picks, and can take a top-notch shooting guard. Indiana's Victor Oladipo, we think, is the player to really covet. He is explosive and dynamic. He is only getting better. He will be Dwyane Wade someday, and we're not just saying that because both were coached by Tom Crean. Ben McLemore of Kansas is a better pure shooter. Both would be game-changers. But Oladipo would be better.

• Next-best-case: The Wolves look like they are destined to pick somewhere between Nos. 8 and 10 based on their record, assuming they get no lottery help. But maybe they wind up at No. 6 or No. 7. And maybe one of those two shooting guards falls to them? Did you notice how much the Wolves could use a really good shooting guard?

• Decent case: Neither of the above-mentioned shooting guards is available, but they wind up with someone like Michigan State's Gary Harris (a freshman who could still declare for the draft and is a very good shooter) or Alex Len (the 7-1 Maryland sophomore center who would give the Wolves a much-needed defensive presence down low).

• Worst case: The Wolves don't win the lottery and wind up in a low enough draft spot where all the players they really covet are gone, and they wind up taking someone with a big name like Cody Zeller or Shabazz Muhammad — two players who could wind up being major NBA busts.

MICHAEL RAND

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Bailey Hillesheim/The Associated Press

Naz Reid was ejected after a second-half dustup with Mouhamed Gueye as the Wolves showed fight in ending a two-game losing streak.

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