Paul Ryan's loyalty to Donald Trump to be tested

Once-rocky relationship could threaten priorities.

Bloomberg News
January 4, 2017 at 6:14AM
Members of the House of Representatives, some joined by family, gather in the House chamber on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, Jan. 3, 2017, as the 115th Congress gets under way. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)
House of Representatives members, some joined by family, gathered in the House chamber on Capitol Hill on Tuesday. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Paul Ryan was formally re-elected House speaker Tuesday as he intensifies his efforts to move past his differences with Donald Trump after a divisive campaign.

Ryan won resounding re-election with 239 votes — clearing the 218 needed — with only one Republican voting for someone else. But his relationship with Trump will face a test as he carves out his own agenda for Republicans in Congress.

"This is the kind of thing that most of us only dream about. … I used to dream about it. The people have given us unified government," Ryan said Tuesday.

But the speaker faces competing pressures from different parts of his own caucus. Some members warn they'll be monitoring his loyalty to Trump. Others want Ryan to stick to the conservative line on spending and not roll over for Trump, a stance that could bring a quick end to their uneasy peace.

The two men see eye to eye on repealing President Obama's health care plan as the first order of business but don't agree yet on the details of how to replace it. Other early flash points are likely to be Trump's insistence on a $1 trillion infrastructure plan and a wall along the Mexican border — both of which could balloon the deficit, anathema to a spending hawk like Ryan.

"This speaker … has strong opinions on matters of policy," said Rep. Charlie Dent, R-Pa., a Ryan ally and House moderate. He said Ryan will work with the Trump administration, "but I just don't see the speaker rolling over on every policy."

The Wisconsin Republican has emerged unscathed so far from his unprecedented decision last fall to distance himself from the then-presidential nominee.

But some conservatives warn that Ryan will be on a short leash. Trump has strong support within the House GOP, and the speaker must tread lightly because it was Trump's uprising that succeeded, not his own.

And while Trump may not be perfectly meshed with the policy thinking of the most conservative House Republicans, many are kindred spirits in his anti-establishment, change-Washington bent.

Ryan "miscalculated the mood of the conference by not backing Trump and miscalculated again when he assumed a Trump loss would vindicate the first mistake," said a House conservative.

Ryan and his allies may be counting on letting Trump lead initially in hopes of wearing him down and taking control of the legislative agenda, the same lawmaker said. If Ryan does this, he said, Trump conservatives will abandon him.

Paul Brace, a political scientist at Rice University, said that as long as Trump remains relatively popular in his party, Ryan has little choice but to remain fairly passive in dealings with him.

Adam Brandon of FreedomWorks, a conservative group, predicted "a pretty harmonious" first six months. But spending and deficit issues may threaten Ryan's cooperation with Trump, he said.

House Speaker Paul Ryan of Wis. administers the House oath of office to Rep. Paul Gosar, R-Ariz., during a mock swearing in ceremony on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, Jan. 3, 2017. (AP Photo/Zach Gibson)
Speaker Paul Ryan administered the oath of office Tuesday to Rep. Paul Gosar, R-Ariz., during a ceremony in Washington. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
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The "winners" have all been Turkeys, no matter the honor's name.

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