NEW YORK - The next shoe to drop on gun control may come by mid-January, when President Obama is expected to issue an executive order requiring everyone "in the business" of selling firearms to perform background checks.
Federal law already obliges federally licensed gun retailers to do computerized criminal checks via the Federal Bureau of Investigation's database. But people who lack federal licenses and sell guns from their personal collections are not required to do the checks.
Many firearms are sold in the latter fashion by individuals who aren't technically gun retailers but who sell weapons at weekend gun shows or from their homes. Forthcoming research by the Harvard School of Public Health estimates that 40 percent of all gun transfers occur without background checks (that's the so-called gun show loophole).
Following another a year of mass shootings of Americans, Obama has let it be known from his holiday retreat in Hawaii, through advisers, that soon after New Year's Day he plans to follow through on plans to expand the definition of who's "in the business" of selling firearms — and thus who's required to perform background checks.
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, among others, has strongly backed this idea, and now Obama appears ready to make its implementation one of the first major acts of his final year in office.
Another fan of expanded background checks is Michael Bloomberg, owner of Bloomberg LP and founder of Everytown for Gun Safety, the nation's leading nonprofit advocating tougher regulation of firearms. Bloomberg visited Obama at the White House last week to discuss gun-safety strategies.
Expected hostile reaction
The timing of the expected Obama move on background checks guarantees it will receive a hostile reaction from gun-rights advocates, thousands of whom will gather next month in Las Vegas for the firearm industry's annual Shooting, Hunting & Outdoor Trade Show, known as SHOT.
An ironic twist is that many of the attendees at SHOT each year are federally licensed brick-and-mortar gun dealers who sometimes concede privately that they have no real problem with all gun sellers being forced to do background checks.