Carey Price is probably going to run away with the Hart Trophy.
The Montreal Canadiens goalie's level of consistency all season has been remarkable, leading the NHL in victories, goals-against average and save percentage. And the Habs would likely have had to scratch and claw for a playoff spot if not for Price.
But for the past couple of weeks, I have wrestled with what I will do when my ballot arrives. I have decided I'm going with the Wild's Devan Dubnyk No. 1.
The definition of the Hart Trophy is "most valuable to his team," and nobody has meant more to his team than Dubnyk has to the Wild. On Jan. 13, the Wild had a closed-door meeting after its latest in a string of humiliations.
In a game in which the Wild actually outplayed the Pittsburgh Penguins for large chunks, the Wild still got smoked because in a continuing trend, it couldn't get a save. It had lost 12 of 14 at that point, was in 12th place, eight points out of a playoff spot and about to go belly-up.
In came Dubnyk, and the rest is history. The Wild went 28-9-3 since and soared into the postseason. He went 27-9-2, starting 38 consecutive games until Darcy Kuemper beat Nashville on Thursday, with a 1.78 goals-against average and .936 save percentage. He went 15-2-1 with a 1.53 goals-against average and .949 save percentage on the road and 5-0-1 in his past six second of back-to-back games with a 1.14 goals-against average and .968 save percentage.
This isn't just a half-season thing for Dubnyk. Add Arizona, where he outplayed Mike Smith, and Dubnyk was sixth in the NHL with 36 wins (six more wins than Jose Theodore had when he won the Hart with Montreal in 2002) and second behind Price with a 2.07 goals-against average and .929 save percentage.
Without Dubnyk, there is no doubt the Wild would be staring at another seventh or eighth pick and postseason absence. There was not a better trade in the NHL this season, and after witnessing firsthand just how much one person can save a season, Dubnyk's getting my Hart vote. 2. Price; 3. Alex Ovechkin, Washington; 4. John Tavares, N.Y. Islanders; 5. Rick Nash, N.Y. Rangers.