Jose Berrios just might be Twins' most important prospect

May 15, 2017 at 4:21AM
Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Jose Berrios delivers in the first inning of a baseball game against the Cleveland Indians, Saturday, May 13, 2017, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Tony Dejak)
Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Jose Berrios delivers in the first inning of a baseball game against the Cleveland Indians, Saturday, May 13, 2017, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Tony Dejak) (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

By now, Twins fans are more than familiar with the team's young hitting prospects.

Miguel Sano is in his third season with the team and is rounding into one of the American League's most consistent offensive threats. Byron Buxton also has been with the Twins for parts of three seasons. He's clearly still working to figure things out at the plate, but he's also had 400 fewer MLB plate appearances than Sano while also providing the Twins nearly unmatched defense and speed.

Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler? They, too, have been here long enough that we know about them.

The immediate prospect pool on the starting pitching side of things, however, is more shallow and less known. If there is one name we've heard over and over, though, it is Jose Berrios.

And Berrios, who made his triumphant 2017 Twins debut Saturday at Cleveland, might be the organization's most important prospect of them all.

It's only might because it's foolish to undervalue hitting in the modern game, but the case can be made for Berrios. If the Twins are going to become legitimate contenders at some point — not just a team on the fringes of the wild-card race but real contenders — they are going to need top-of-the-rotation pitchers. You can try to buy those in free agency, but they are both hard to find and ridiculously expensive.

Berrios certainly isn't the only pitcher in the Twins organization with that capability, but he is the one with the deepest track record despite still only being 22 (he turns 23 later this month).

Berrios' 14-start audition in 2016 was a cautionary tale similar to what we saw early on from Buxton. There was some raw ability and flashes of brilliance, but overall he struggled mightily: 3-7 record and an ERA over 8. He started this season in Rochester, where he has dominated Class AAA hitters (1.13 ERA in six starts) — just like he has dominated every other level except (so far) the majors.

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The organization's inability to develop pitchers for the better part of the past decade has been its biggest downfall, resulting in questionable free-agent decisions (Ricky Nolasco is at the top of this list), inflated ERAs and a bunch of 90-loss seasons.

If Berrios is flat-out ready to contribute this season, as it looked like he was in limiting Cleveland to one run Saturday, the Twins are immediately more intriguing in 2017.

But even if he ends up only taking an encouraging step forward from where he was last season, the future Twins rotation starts to come into sharper focus. If the rest of his work this year looks like more of the same from 2016, it's still way to soon to give up on Berrios, but every hiccup is at least a temptation to adjust expectations downward.

That Berrios is in the rotation now says as much about him as it does the Twins' overall pitching development woes. If Kyle Gibson was the pitcher in 2017 the Twins had hoped he would develop into, Berrios probably wouldn't be here yet.

But ready or not, here comes the pitcher who could be the Twins' most important overall prospect.

Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Jose Berrios delivers in the first inning of a baseball game against the Cleveland Indians, Saturday, May 13, 2017, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Tony Dejak)
Righthander Jose Berrios made his first Twins start of the season on Saturday and limited Cleveland to one run and two hits over 7 ⁲⁄₃ inning in a 4-1 Minnesota victory. That’s a promising sign for a team that needs rotation depth. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
about the writer

about the writer

Michael Rand

Columnist / Reporter

Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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