Housing developments that are custom-made for seniors are springing up across the Twin Cities in a new building blitz to accommodate the state's "silver tsunami" — its 1.5 million baby boomers nearing or now into retirement.
More than 6,000 senior housing units are currently planned for the Twin Cities. While not all projects will be built and others may still be under wraps, about 1,100 senior units are under construction in the metro area, with most opening by the end of this year, says Tom Melchior, director of market research for CliftonLarsonAllen in Minneapolis.
The projects stretch from Burnsville to Maple Grove, and they come in many iterations, including independent and assisted-living units, plus nursing and memory care options for those suffering from Alzheimer's and other dementia-related illnesses.
Every day between now and 2031, about 10,000 baby boomers across the country will turn 65 — a tempting demographic for the $250 billion senior housing industry. More for-profit developers are entering the space than ever before, said John Mehrkens, vice president of project development for Presbyterian Homes & Services, a Roseville-based nonprofit developer.
"You see people looking at senior housing as a type of development that can get done, even if economic times are challenging," he said.
'The next wave'
Despite the surge in development, the latest wave of senior housing is more likely to serve the boomers' parents — those in their mid-80s and older — than the boomers themselves, said Matt Alexander, director of development for Kraus-Anderson Realty in Bloomington, a longtime developer and builder of senior housing. "Boomers are the next wave."
Because the oldest baby boomers turn 67 this year, "the real push [for senior housing] is going to start in about seven or eight years," he said. Between 2010 and 2040, the number of Twin Citians over the age of 65 will double from 307,000 to 770,000, according to the Metropolitan Council. By 2040, seniors will make up 21 percent of the population.
For now, older boomers may be more interested in independent-living options. Plymouth-based affordable housing giant Dominium Co. is building two over-55 complexes in St. Anthony and Crystal, representing an investment of close to $50 million.