On Ground Hog Day, 1996, a weather observer in Tower, Minn., tallied a new statewide record low temperature: minus 60 degrees Fahrenheit. At our house, about 35 miles west, it was minus 50.
Respectable, certainly, but I was unsatisfied.
Just before sunrise, an event seeming merely ceremonial under the circumstances, I hiked down to a neighboring bog clutching a thermometer. Inhaling the brittle air was uncomfortable, but I happily watched as the mercury dropped to minus 65, then separated into chunks as it crawled toward minus 70. Nothing official, of course, but good enough to establish that Jack London fibbed in one of his Yukon-based stories. He'd written that at minus 50, spittle would freeze before it hit the ground. Tried it. Not so.
Still, there was primitive delight in being outside in such an extreme. Little did I realize it was one of the last true cold snaps I'd experience in northern Minnesota.
Years ago, I worked on a wildland fire crew in Idaho with a tough old grunt nearing 60. He relished spinning yarns to rapt greenhorns about "the old days," gently mocking them with his signature narrative opening, "Once upon a time, when the trees were taller, the mountains were steeper and the winds were swifter ..."
What follows here is not the flawed nostalgia of an old-timer recalling the glories (or terrors) of legendary winters. I keep records; I have the numbers.
Beginning with the winter of 1997-98, a clear warming trend established itself, and continues until now. For example, during the winter I ventured down to the bog to spit, I recorded 74 days when the temperature dipped to zero or below. In 1997-98, there were a mere 23 such days, and the coldest morning was minus 25. Over the years we'd seen afternoons when such a relatively anemic nock was the high.
My data show that from the late 1970s into the late 1990s, a minus 30 reading at our house was routine. But beginning this century, we passed five winters without hitting minus 30, and six without savoring a minus 40, a reading that was always rarer, but not uncommon. That is startling.