Analysis |
By PATRICK HEALY New York Times
No moment in the 2016 presidential campaign has cried out more for a unifying candidate than the police shootings of two black men last week and the ensuing national uproar, followed by the shocking sniper ambush that killed five police officers in Dallas.
And no other moment has revealed more starkly how hard it is for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton to become that candidate.
Never have two presidential nominees been as unpopular as Trump and Clinton, and they are not fully trusted by their own sides, nor are they showing significant crossover appeal in the polls. Trump, the self-described champion of law and order, is also the political figure many people blame for sowing division and hatred with his attacks on immigrants, Muslims, Mexicans and others. Rather than defuse tension, he electrifies crowds and vanquishes rivals through provocations that he delights in calling politically incorrect.
Of the two, Clinton would seem more able, and driven, to try to bring the country together. She has a large following among black voters and speaks ardently about the need for "respect" and "love and kindness." After Dallas, she called on "white people to understand how African-Americans feel every day." Yet many on the right and some on the left dislike her intensely, and even her admirers say she lacks the public emotion, oratorical skills and reputation for honesty to persuade large numbers of Americans to see things her way.
The need for a reassuring and healing voice has come at a particularly bad time for the two presumptive presidential nominees. For many Americans, Clinton's credibility was further damaged last week as FBI Director James Comey sharply criticized her for being "extremely careless" about her use of private e-mail as secretary of state. At the same time, Trump alienated many voters with his mixed comments about Saddam Hussein and his defensiveness over a Twitter post that many people regarded as anti-Semitic.
"Trump is 100 percent saying the right things about police and respecting authority, but then he says these other comments that are too weird for voters to ignore," said Fred DeLuca, a Trump supporter and former police officer who owns a graphic supply store in Youngstown, Ohio. "And Hillary — I don't trust what she says about law enforcement, not at all."
Barack Obama did manage to excite some members of both parties in 2008 with his historic candidacy, and Bill Clinton's new-generation image and empathic personality appealed across party lines in 1992. And in moments of national crisis, presidents have shown the ability to unify the country, if fleetingly, as George W. Bush did after Sept. 11.