One man's opinion on how today's NFL action will play out …

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES

NFC

Packers plus-7 ½ at Seahawks: Seahawks by 10

Why?: The Packers lost by 20 in Seattle with Aaron Rodgers' mobility at full strength. Granted, that was back in Week 1. A lot has changed since them. But, if anything, Seattle is playing even better defensively the past seven games (56 points allowed) than it was in Week 1. Rodgers won't be able to get away with having the bum left calf against a defense that's much better than what he saw at home against Dallas last week.

AFC

Colts plus-6 ½ at Patriots: Patriots by 14

Why?: Bill Belichick has outcoached the Colts in recent meetings, including a 42-20 regular-season win this season, and he'll do it again. The Colts aren't sure what to expect. Will they see the team that bludgeoned them with the run during the regular season? Or will they see the team that ran for only 14 yards in beating the Ravens last week? Belichick and his defense also won't allow a one-dimensional Colts offense to beat them. Colts QB Andrew Luck is good, but not good enough at this point in his career to outmaneuver Belichick at New England with the Super Bowl on the line.

DIVISIONAL ROUND

Record: 3-1. Versus spread: 3-1.

WILD-CARD ROUND

Record: 1-3. Versus spread: 2-2.

Final Regular-season Record: Last week/overall: 12-4/146-90-1. Versus spread: Last week/overall: 9-6-1/125-111-1.

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