As many as half of Minnesota's bird species — including the loon, the beloved state bird — could disappear because of accelerated climate change.
It's not the birds themselves that are endangered, it's the places that they live — the lakes, the forests, the grasslands — that are at risk. As those areas disappear, so will the birds that nest there.
"In real estate, it's 'location, location, location,' " said Bob Janssen, the author of several books about birds in Minnesota. "The bird equivalent is habitat, habitat, habitat. And it's declining, declining, declining."
If overall temperatures in the state continue to climb at the current rate for 65 years, it will drive many species that live in Minnesota farther north in search of suitable environments, according to a study by the National Audubon Society. It would mean that by 2080, the nearest loon might be in Canada.
Currently, the area in the state populated by loons runs roughly along Interstate 94, said Carrol Henderson, nongame wildlife program supervisor for the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources.
"South of that line, there are few loons," he said. "North of that line are the lakes with the clear, cool water that loons need. If those lakes warm up, the loons will move farther north as the lakes they're living in now will become unusable or, at least, marginalized."
In addition to loons, which are known for their haunting calls and piercing red eyes, Minnesota birds said to be at risk include the American white pelican, sharp-tailed grouse and mallard duck. The study also warned that the trumpeter swan could disappear entirely.
"We've been talking about birds being killed by flying into glass," Jim Williams, a bird expert who writes the Wingnut blog for the Star Tribune, said in referring to a recent controversy over the design of the new Minnesota Vikings stadium. "That's going to be nothing compared to this."