For all of my opposition to Donald Trump, I have long been skeptical of the political wisdom or evidentiary basis of efforts to impeach him.
My reasons: First, being a terrible president and a wretched person are not impeachable offenses. Second, Robert Mueller's investigation has so far produced evidence that can be interpreted as obstruction of justice but not as clear proof. Third, impeachment in the House would be unlikely to translate into conviction in the Senate, even if Democrats win both chambers in the fall. Fourth, impeachment without conviction could strengthen Trump politically, much as it did for Bill Clinton after his own 1998 impeachment.
And, like it or not, Trump remains popular with tens of millions of Americans. To overturn the results of an election for anything less than unambiguous evidence of criminal behavior is a danger to democracy itself.
At least that was my view until this week. Michael Cohen's guilty plea changes this. The Constitution's standard for impeachment is "Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors." The standard is now met.
Trump's longtime fixer acknowledged in court Tuesday that he had violated campaign finance laws by paying hush money to two women "in coordination with and at the direction of a candidate for federal office." That means Trump. That means that, as a candidate, Trump is credibly alleged to have purposefully conspired with Cohen to commit criminal acts. That means the duo did so "for purposes of influencing [an] election for Federal office," which is the legal definition of a campaign contribution.
It also means that, as president, Trump allegedly sought to conceal the arrangement by failing to note in his 2017 financial disclosure forms his reimbursements to Cohen. The president most likely continues to lie to the American people about the nature and purpose of those payments.
The Trumpian rebuttal to these charges is that Cohen is a sleazy lawyer and proven liar. And that the most prominent attempt to prosecute a political figure for violating campaign-finance laws — involving former Democratic senator and 2004 vice-presidential candidate John Edwards — failed in court. And that campaign-finance violations don't rise to the level of impeachable offenses, anyway.
But if Cohen's lies as Trump's lawyer are one thing, lying under oath to a federal judge is quite another. Cohen's sentencing isn't until December, when he's expected to be sent to prison for up to five years. If he's being untruthful, that leaves plenty of time for any deceits to come to light. Ask yourself: Does he look like a guy eager to have his sentence doubled?