As transÂformÂaÂtive as a $400 million development proÂject will be for one side of downÂtown, it threatÂens to leave anÂothÂer side with some gapÂing holes should Wells Fargo choose to pick up and leave some of its downÂtown ofÂfices.
It's space that won't easÂiÂly be filled givÂen curÂrent ofÂfice marÂket dyÂnamÂics, and the company's effort to consolidate workers will cast its own ecoÂnomÂic ripÂples, said Brent Erickson, seniÂor diÂrecÂtor at Cushman & WakeÂfield/NorthMarq.
In the Twin Cities, the bank's huge workforce is spread across at least 16 loÂcaÂtions from Eden Prairie to Eagan to Shoreview. About 7,000 of the more than 20,000 employees Wells Fargo has in Minnesota work in downtown Minneapolis, in 14 buildings.
The bank has said it plans to stay put in its local headÂquarÂters downÂtown in the tall, goldÂen Wells Fargo Center next to the IDS Center. EvÂerÂyÂthing else apÂpears to be up for grabs.
"It's a big guessing game," Erickson said.
Paige Rickert, a downÂtown ofÂfice leasÂing broÂker with CBRE, said it will take time for Wells Fargo to fill in the details of its plans.
"I think it will be 24 months at least beÂfore we find out where they're comÂing from," Rickert said. "I think we'll be askÂing this quesÂtion a year from now."
Real esÂtate professionals say candidates for consolidation include the bank's big Wells Fargo Home MortÂgage camÂpus in south Minneapolis, which is full, and sevÂerÂal of its downÂtown ofÂfice spots.
Those include the Northstar Center, where it leasÂes about 520,000 square feet, and the Baker Center, where it leasÂes about 450,000 square feet. Both buildÂings are old, but the cheap Class B ofÂfice space could play in faÂvor of the bank stayÂing.
If the bank were to shift those workÂers to the Downtown East space, local reÂtailÂers would clearÂly take a hit. But the greater imÂpact, some broÂkers said, would fall on the ownÂers of those speÂcifÂic properties.
A few sugÂgestÂed that the buildÂings might be best reÂdevelÂoped for another use alÂtoÂgethÂer, such as apartÂments, or perhaps even torn down.
The Travelers Cos. Inc., the New York-based inÂsurÂer that owns the Baker Center, declined to comÂment. PCCP LLC, a real estate investment firm in Los Angeles that owns the Northstar Center, couldn't immediately be reached for comment. The company handling leasing for Northstar said Wells Fargo and PCCP are talking.
"There's a lot of discussion about that right now with PCCP and there will be some sort of strategy development over the next couple of months," said Frank Jermusek, president of Northco Real Estate Services in St. Louis Park. "They'll probably have to make some difficult decisions over the next couple of months or the next year."
The building is in an excellent location, Jermusek said, and is still "in relatively good shape."
While some real estate professionals arÂgue that Baker and Northstar are funcÂtionÂalÂly obÂsoÂlete for ofÂfices, Rickert disÂagrees.
"If Wells Fargo moved out of evÂerÂyÂthing they had in those two buildÂings it would be four [or] five years for those buildÂings to get their ocÂcuÂpanÂcy back up to good levÂels," he said. "If those ownÂers are willÂing to put in some upÂdates to those buildÂings, there's a marÂket for them."
Retaining the jobs within the downÂtown is worth such a poÂtenÂtialÂly painÂful loss, said Steve CramÂer, presÂiÂdent and CEO of the Minneapolis Downtown Council and the Downtown ImÂproveÂment District.
"I don't disÂcount the chalÂlenge that fillÂing those vaÂcanÂcies will presÂent to the propÂerÂty ownÂers," CramÂer said. "But lookÂing at it from an overÂall perÂspecÂtive, the Downtown East proÂject reÂalÂly hits so many of the goals of the DownÂtown Council's 2025 plan that it's one that we clearÂly supÂport."
Chuck Lutz, depÂuÂty diÂrecÂtor of the city of Minneapolis Community Planning and Economic Development, said he's heard a range of possiÂbiliÂties, inÂcludÂing shiftÂing workÂers to Minneapolis from Charlotte, N.C.
"They're not talkÂing," Lutz said of the bank. "I wish I knew more, just like evÂerÂyÂbodÂy else."