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Paul Douglas
December 20, 2021

Today Marks The Winter Solstice

A coating of snow is possible today with a couple inches north of MSP, where a white Christmas is likely. In the metro area much of whatever snow is left will melt, with daytime highs above 32F the latter half of the week. Models hint at light rain and 40F at MSP Christmas Eve, followed by cooler weather over the weekend. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 19, 2021
Slowly Falling Temperatures Monday - Any Snow Chances Before Christmas?

Slowly Falling Temperatures Monday - Any Snow Chances Before Christmas?

After a cold front moves through Sunday Night, we'll see falling temperatures and feels like temperatures in the single digits as we head through Monday. A snow chance moves across northern Minnesota Monday Night into Tuesday, but will there be any snow chances before Christmas here in the metro? - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 18, 2021

Dwindling Odds of White Christmas Much of USA

The northern half of Minnesota may pick up another 2-5" by Christmas, but this week looks relatively mild, with daytime highs mostly in the 30s. ECMWF predicts 40F and rain showers on Christmas Eve. Santa may need to load up toys in his red SUV Friday. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 17, 2021

A Barely-White Christmas for the Metro?

Parts of the north metro are waking up to an inch of fluff this morning. Models predict a few minor snowfalls next week, mainly northern counties, with a few days in the 30s. A couple inches of new snow may fall on central Minnesota, with some 4-8" amounts over the northern third of the state by Christmas. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 16, 2021

Tornado-Free and Seasonably Chilly

After our recent wet, wind blown weather tantrum I'm relieved to be tracking quiet weather into Christmas with 20s, even a few 30s next week. Central Minnesota may pick up a couple inches of fluff today into Saturday, but a dry westerly wind flow aloft will limit any potential for big snowstorms. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 15, 2021

Paul Douglas: From tornado threat to icy roads in less than 12 hours

Just when you thought 2021 couldn't get any weirder...it did. Yesterday: first moderate risk, first December Tornado Watches and Warnings - record warmth and moisture content of the atmosphere made for an outbreak of crazy weather, topped off with howling winds overnight, and a morning of reluctant ice skating. The definition of weather-whiplash
Paul Douglas
December 15, 2021

Paul Douglas: First December tornado watch; historic severe T-storm outbreak by evening

The threat is real and wind damage across parts of southern Minnesota and southwest Wisconsin by evening from straight-line winds and isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out. Storms arrive between 6-9pm and may be severe as far north as the Twin Cities, possibly parts of central Minnesota.
Paul Douglas
December 12, 2021
Above Average Through Most Of The Week, Including Potentially Record Highs Wednesday

Above Average Through Most Of The Week, Including Potentially Record Highs Wednesday

Expect a quiet start to your work week, with a mix of sun and clouds and highs in the 30s across the state. Highs will mainly be above average this week in the Twin Cities, and we could potentially see record highs across southern Minnesota on Wednesday. Precipitation chances exist Wednesday and Friday. Click for more. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 11, 2021
Sunny Sunday To Play In The Snow - Record Highs Wednesday?

Sunny Sunday To Play In The Snow - Record Highs Wednesday?

After our foot to foot and a half (or more) of snow across portions of the metro Friday into Friday Night, nice weather Saturday allowed for after-snow activities like digging out and playing in that new snow. Nice weather continues Sunday for more snow activities with mid-30s for highs. However, the pendulum swings toward melting snow with potential record highs Wednesday. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 10, 2021
Winter Storm Slowly Ends Friday Night - Quieter Weekend Ahead

Winter Storm Slowly Ends Friday Night - Quieter Weekend Ahead

The winter storm impacting the region will continue to bring snow, heavy at times, to southern Minnesota through Friday Night before tapering off. As we head into the weekend we're expecting quiet conditions with highs in the 30s. However, we could see record highs Wednesday! - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 10, 2021

Snowstorm update: Plowable metro, bordering on crippling south of MSP

The first (real) snowstorm of the winter season for the Twin Cities metro should be memorable...especially on area highways late afternoon and evening. The farther south you attempt to travel, the heavier the snow, and greater the amounts. PS: it'll melt.
Paul Douglas
December 9, 2021

Paul Douglas: Plowable snow: 4-8" metro with 10+" possible southern suburbs by late tonight

The first (real) snowstorm of the winter season is still on track for the Twin Cities and much of southern Minnesota. Expect a sharp snowfall gradient with more snow southern suburbs, considerably less will fall on northern suburbs and St. Cloud. Wind shouldn't be a major factor (I don't see much blowing and drifting) and temperatures close to 30F increases the odds of slushy/wet freeways. That said, it will be pretty slow out there on area highways by late afternoon and evening.
Paul Douglas
December 7, 2021

Snowy Powder and Unusual Warm Fronts

The sun comes out today with 40 degrees Thursday before a close encounter with a storm approaching from Denver on Friday. Latest models keep the heaviest snow band south/east of MSP with a couple inches here; maybe 8-10" closer to La Crosse. Colder air returns for Santa's big arrival. It may come down to the wire for a white Christmas. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 7, 2021

Icy Nuisance Snowfall Today - Plowable Snow Potential by Late Week

Monday's spasm of arctic air is fading a bit and a weak clipper-like system will squeeze out a coating of fluff today, just enough to ice up roads with temperatures creeping above 20F by afternoon. Quiet weather returns Wednesday and Thursday before a storm approaching from Denver pushes more snow into southern Minnesota (and possibly the metro area) Friday into Saturday morning. Whatever falls will probably melt next week as Pacific air guides the mercury close to 40F a few days next week.
Paul Douglas
December 5, 2021

Today: A Windblown Preview of January

The sun will be out today, but it won't help much: wind chills may dip to -10F early this morning with afternoon "highs" in the low teens. Invigorating. A coating of flurries may brush southern counties Tuesday. A mild blip Thursday gives way to snowy possibilities Saturday PM into Sunday, as a storm approaches from Colorado. Confidence levels are low this far out but ECMWF predicts plowable snow early next weekend.
Paul Douglas
December 4, 2021

A Real Polar Punch Arrives Monday

Monday will be nippy with highs in the teens and a chill factor below zero, in spite of bright sunshine. A slippery coating of snow arrives Tuesday, with a couple inches of slush Thursday. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
December 3, 2021
Mainly Quiet Saturday - Winter Storm Watch In Northern Minnesota

Mainly Quiet Saturday - Winter Storm Watch In Northern Minnesota

While Saturday should be quiet in the Twin Cities, we are watching a storm system for the second half of the weekend that will bring heavy snow to northern portions of the state. Click for details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 2, 2021

Winter is Delayed But Not Canceled: Chilly Slap Next Week With Some Snow

Our autumnal weather honeymoon has been quite remarkable (tie for 4th warmest September - November period on record in the Twin Cities) with an unusual number of sunny days. Alas, things are about to change. Next week will be cold enough for snow, and it appears frozen water is on the way, coming in a few waves of low pressure next week. Enjoy your green lawn, odds are you won't be able to see it next week.
Paul Douglas
December 1, 2021

4th Warmest Meteorological Fall on Record at MSP

the weather outlook into the weekend looks cooler and a little more unsettled. A fairly decent storm system blows into town with wind-whipped flakes expected on Sunday. Plowable snow will stay across the far northern part of the state once again. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas
November 30, 2021

What December? Slushy Possibilities by Sunday

A rain shower early today gives way to 50 degrees, but clippers dropping slushy coatings on northern Minnesota will drag increasingly cold air south. Models hint at a few inches Saturday night into Sunday; maybe plowable north of MSP? Yes, it's about time. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson