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Paul Douglas
December 20, 2020
Warmer Sunday - Watching Snow Chances Before Christmas Along With Much Colder Weather

Warmer Sunday - Watching Snow Chances Before Christmas Along With Much Colder Weather

We're tracking a couple of snow chances over the next several days that could help bring a white coating just in time for Christmas - along with much colder air as well. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 19, 2020
Quiet Weather Weekend - Getting Cold In Time For Christmas

Quiet Weather Weekend - Getting Cold In Time For Christmas

While quiet weather is expected this weekend, we do watch the chance for some snow and much colder weather next week. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 18, 2020
Stay off metro ice

'So You're Telling Me There's a Chance?' Numbing Christmas may follow a few inches of snow

A mild bias lingers into Monday, but models continue to hint at a few inches of snow next Tuesday into Wednesday. A white(ish) Christmas is still possible, a cold Christmas is likely
Paul Douglas
December 16, 2020
My Snowman’s Last Stand

White Christmas Comes Right Down To The Wire This Year

A mild bias (thank or blame a persistent wind flow from the Pacific) lingers into early next week, but models show a turn to colder weather just in time for Christmas. The arrival of this Canadian slip may trigger a little snow just in time for December 25. So you're telling me there's a chance...
Paul Douglas
December 16, 2020
Snowfall Potential Next 36 Hours

Snowy Dribs and Drabs Here, While Northeast Gets Clobbered With 1-2 Feet

Our extended snow drought continues until further notice. I keep waiting for the pattern to break, but once again the persistence of this relatively dry, mild rut is impressive. Now I'm dreaming of a white New Year...
Paul Douglas
December 15, 2020
Unsafe ice

More Mild Than Cold Days Into Late December: White Christmas In Doubt

I'm a naive optimist, but we will need a last-minute reprieve from Old Man Winter to see at least an inch of snow on the ground Christmas morning. Not impossible, but increasingly unlikely
Paul Douglas
December 14, 2020
Lax Lake Overlook in Tettegouche State Park - December 8, 2020

Coldest Day So Far This Winter Monday - Another Mainly Weather Week

The coldest air of the season so far is expected Monday across the upper Midwest, with highs only making it into the low 20s in the Twin Cities. We'll see warming temps through the rest of the week, with mainly quiet weather in place. Click for more details.
Paul Douglas
December 12, 2020
Geminid Meteor Shower

Half a Winter for Minnesota This Year?

Half a Winter for Minnesota This Year?
Paul Douglas
December 12, 2020
Snow Drought Lingers Into Christmas

Snow Drought Lingers Into Christmas

MSP is nearly +10 degrees above average! It has also been a dry start with only 0.01" of precipitation falling. We've also only had 0.2" of snow, which is nearly -4.0" below average through the first part of the month.
Paul Douglas
December 11, 2020
Santa-Angst: Odds of a White Christmas Dwindling Over Time

Santa-Angst: Odds of a White Christmas Dwindling Over Time

I'm dreaming of a white Christmas, but I'm also a reluctant realist. My lawn is still a pukish-shade of green and will be for some time to come. The pattern isn't ripe for significant snow looking out the next 2 weeks. I hope I'm wrong...
Paul Douglas
December 10, 2020
Mid-December or early October?

White Christmas 2020 in Doubt as Mild Signal Continues Next 2 Weeks

I'm a naive optimist, but I'm starting to wonder (out loud) whether the stars (and weather patterns) will align to produce significant snow between now and December 25. If snow was a stock I'd short it right about now.
Paul Douglas
December 10, 2020
Sunshine Odds Increasing but Late-Week Snow Potential is Iffy

Sunshine Odds Increasing but Late-Week Snow Potential is Iffy

I keep waiting for winter to kick in, but we may be waiting a few more weeks for a traditional cold/snowy pattern to return. You know, more like October was? What a strange late autumn, early winter scenario. And to think, in 13 days the Winter Solstice marks the lowest sun angle. By Christmas Day daylight will be on the increase again, for the first time since late June.
Paul Douglas
December 9, 2020
Old Man Winter Practicing Social Distancing (from Minnesota)

Old Man Winter Practicing Social Distancing (from Minnesota)

I continue to see a mild bias, probably through the end of December. We'll see a few cold fronts (no kidding) but no prolonged, polar air capable of spinning up big storms is in sight
Paul Douglas
December 6, 2020
Another Mild Week With a Slushy Near-Miss

Another Mild Week With a Slushy Near-Miss

After a cloudy Sunday, sunshine and milder weather returns for the week ahead. Reading could flirt with 50F by Wednesday before a cool down this weekend.
Paul Douglas
December 5, 2020

Warming Trend - 50s Possible By The Middle Of The Week!

Enjoy the quiet stretch of weather over the next several days. We'll see a warming trend through the middle of the week with 50s possible on Wednesday. We could use some precipitation, though - 76.7% of the state is considered abnormally dry. Click for more. - D.J. Kayser
Paul Douglas
December 3, 2020
Winter Intermission Lingers Into Next Week But Don't Write Off a White Christmas Yet

Winter Intermission Lingers Into Next Week But Don't Write Off a White Christmas Yet

Apparently Old Man Winter didn't get the memo: it's the 4th day of December and lawns are still a pale-green color. Un-raked leaves mocking me. Where's the snow? Who would have predicted THIS just 6 short weeks ago? Quiet weather spills into next week but at some point we will pay for all this tranquility. My best is the last week of December into January. Your results may vary.
Paul Douglas
December 2, 2020
Supernaturally Quiet, But Colder, Snowier Pattern Brewing

Supernaturally Quiet, But Colder, Snowier Pattern Brewing

Yes, it's too quiet out there. When the patterns are this serene my nervous twitch starts to act up, because I realize we are due for a change in the pattern. Although mild, quiet weather hangs on into the middle of next week some of the models are hinting at a colder, potentially snowier shift in the patterns by the third week of December. I'm not writing off a white Christmas just yet.
Paul Douglas
December 1, 2020
Winter On Hold Until Further Notice - No Storms or Polar Air Into Next Week

Winter On Hold Until Further Notice - No Storms or Polar Air Into Next Week

I'm searching for silver linings, so here's something I'm not taking for granted. This is, historically, the cloudiest time of the entire year. November was unusually sunny, and our blue-sky-streak is forecast to hang on into most of next week with temperatures statewide running 5-15F above average. 40s in December? I'll take it. Winter can wait.
Paul Douglas
November 30, 2020
What December? Relatively Mild and Storm-Free Into Mid-Month

What December? Relatively Mild and Storm-Free Into Mid-Month

Who would have guessed this back in mid-October, when we were knee-deep in snow, muttering to ourselves? A few early spasms of snow and cold, then....nothing. Supernaturally quiet weather lingers the next 2 weeks with temperatures above average and little chance of any significant snow. Just the messenger here, and I suspect people will love it or hate it...
Paul Douglas
November 29, 2020
Quiet End To November - Sunny Week Expected

Quiet End To November - Sunny Week Expected

There isn't going to be much to talk about this week. We should see fairly quiet weather with mainly sunny skies. Monday will feature highs in the 20s, but that'll be the only below-average high through next weekend. Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser

Paul Douglas weather

Weather forecasts and musings from Star Tribune meteorologist Paul Douglas.