The Mississippi River's flood-plain forests are dying. The race is on to bring them back.

At the junction of Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa, there's a place called Reno Bottoms, where the Mississippi River spreads out from its main channel into thousands of acres of tranquil backwaters and wetland habitat.

For all its beauty, there's something unsettling about the landscape, something hard to ignore: hundreds of dead, skeletal trees.

Billy Reiter-Marolf, a wildlife biologist for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, calls it the boneyard. It's a popular spot for hunting, fishing and paddling.

"Visitors ask me, 'What's going on, what's happening here?'" Reiter-Marolf said. "It just looks so bad."

Flood-plain forests play a pivotal role in the river ecosystem — creating wildlife habitat, improving water quality, storing carbon and slowing flooding.

But they're disappearing.

As their name indicates, these forests generally withstand flooding, which happens on the Mississippi every year. In the last few decades, though, they've been swamped with high water from long-lasting floods, soaking the trees more than they can stand and causing mass die-offs. And once those taller trees die, sun-loving grasses take over the understory in thick mats that make it nearly impossible for new trees to grow.

The recent losses are worrying to scientists and land managers — especially since climate change will make extreme flooding a more frequent threat.

There's money available to make a dent in the problem. The challenge is finding the right solution before things get much worse.

High waters hit flood-plain forests

The forests on the upper river were historically made up of maple, ash and elm trees. That began to change with the onset of Dutch elm disease, first discovered in the U.S. in the 1930s. Several decades later, the emerald ash borer began to kill ash trees.

"All you're left with is the maple," said Bruce Henry, a forest ecologist with the Fish and Wildlife Service. "The maple gets hit with a flood, and you know, boom chicka. You've got a big dead forest."

But losses can add up quickly. According to a 2022 report on ecological trends on the upper Mississippi, forest cover along the stretch of the river from Minnesota down to Clinton, Iowa, had decreased by roughly 6% between 1989 and 2010. Along the river between Bellevue and Clinton, Iowa, forest cover dropped nearly 18% between 2010 and 2020, said Nathan De Jager, who researches the upper river's flood-plain forests for the U.S. Geological Survey.

Though it was a wet decade overall, a massive flood in 2019 caused the majority of damage, particularly in areas where the river forms the border between Wisconsin and northern Iowa, De Jager said. That flood was unusual not just for its intensity but for its duration — some trees were partly submerged for 100 days or more.

It's pretty clear that excess water is causing forest loss, De Jager said. What exactly is driving the high water isn't as well sorted out.

But climate change, as well as changes in agricultural and urban land use, are likely factors. A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture, which can produce more intense rainfall. And that water is running off the landscape faster than it used to.

High water is hurting forests at both ends of the life cycle, killing adult trees as well as the seedlings struggling to grow up in the understory. Add to that the threats of tree diseases and invasive plants, and the distress signals are clear.

Unlike the wildfires that burn through forests and homes out West, forest loss in the Mississippi River flood plain doesn't affect very many people's day-to-day lives, Andy Meier, a forester with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, said.

But it is hurting the many creatures that call that flood plain home.

In the Lower Mississippi Alluvial Valley — the historic flood plain of the lower river — a 2020 study estimated that about 30% of today's land cover is forest, which used to be continuous across the valley. Loretta Battaglia, director of the Center for Coastal Studies at Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi, said wildlife species loss illustrates the damage.

Battaglia, a Louisiana native who has studied forest restoration in the river valley, pointed to the ivory-billed woodpecker, a bird that once lived in the valley's flood-plain forests but is now considered by many to be extinct.

"The loss of this forest played a huge role in the extinction of that bird that needed a lot of area to fly around and do its thing," Battaglia said.

A study in the Journal of the American Water Resources Association found that the ability of forests to slow water played a big role in reducing levee damage on the lower Missouri River, which feeds into the Mississippi, during the river's historic 1993 flood.

"The federal government could potentially save millions of dollars through management of floodplain forests," the study's authors wrote in their conclusion.

It's unlikely that forest cover along the river will ever return to its original extent, Meier said. For all the usefulness it provides, though, he said "we need to do everything we can" to maintain what's there now.

How to do that, though, can be a hard question to answer.

Restoration efforts are a learning process

The young trees they planted, honey locust and river birch, can handle more flooding than some other tree species. Deciding what to plant at each site is a careful calculation of how much water could pool there, how much sun it gets and which animals could potentially come through and chomp away their hard work.

Much of the time, Meier said, it's trial and error.

A U.S. Geological Survey effort could help eliminate some of that uncertainty. Scientists have modeled flood inundation decades into the future to see which swathes of flood-plain forest could thrive, and conversely, which ones will get too wet to survive.

De Jager's team recently completed modeling for Reno Bottoms. Next year, the Army Corps and other agencies will begin a $37 million habitat restoration project to rehabilitate forests in the area.

The project, funded with federal dollars from the Upper Mississippi River Restoration program, includes close to 550 acres of forest restoration, clearing away aggressive vegetation from the understory and planting new trees. It also includes more than 50 acres where agency staff will raise the elevation of an island to give trees a fighting chance at withstanding future floods.

The hard part, of course, is that working with trees is a long game. It could be 20, 50 or 100 years before the seedlings growing today become the mature forests of tomorrow — and in that time, the river could change, too.

It means that foresters will have to work with precision, but also with a little hope that they're on the right track.

"You don't really know what the result's going to be," Henry said. "You're setting things in action that you're not going to see the fruit of."