When President Donald Trump's critics have demanded to know what his supporters got in exchange for voting for him, thus far those supporters have had only one concrete achievement they could point to: Neil Gorsuch's appointment to the Supreme Court. Now it looks as if they will have another: the end of the Federal Communications Commission's push into "net neutrality."
A brief history of that effort is in order. Under the Obama administration, the FCC looked to write regulations that would limit the ability of internet service providers to play favorites with certain services on their network. The administration was haunted by the specter of ISPs blocking political content, accepting payments from big content providers like Netflix to prioritize their services (thus making it difficult-to-impossible for upstarts to compete) and otherwise turning the internet into a closed garden rather than the open frontier its architects envisioned.
Unfortunately, the FCC ran into a problem: Courts kept telling the commission that it didn't have the legal authority to force ISPs to keep their networks equally open to all comers. So a couple of years ago, the FCC moved to reclassify ISPs as "common carriers" under Title II of the Communications Act of 1934. That offered much more scope for regulation, and finally allowed the FCC to realize the dreams of internet activists everywhere.
Too much scope for regulation, said critics — including then-Commissioner Ajit Pai, now FCC chairman. Pai wrote a blistering dissent to the FCC's decision, summing up the major problem with the FCC's move: It forced ISPs into an 80-year-old framework designed for the telephone monopolies of a much different era. Those regulations were more concerned about things like controlling market power than, say, promoting innovation. And while the advocates for net neutrality stressed the benefits for competition among content providers, the critics asked what would happen to competition among ISPs, since heavy-handed regulation often acts as a barrier to entry for new startups, which can't afford to negotiate the regulatory apparatus.
Those of us old enough to remember what the telephone service looked like in the 1970s, before the FCC unwound a little — which is to say, pretty much like the service our parents had when they were children, down to the astronomical prices for long-distance calls, and the chunky plastic rotary telephones — can see why critics were concerned about giving the FCC that kind of power to block innovation. No problem, retorted advocates: The FCC just won't use much of its regulatory power. The technical term is "forbearance," and the FCC offered to do a lot of it when it brought ISPs under Title II, for example by forgoing its statutory authority to set rates.
But offering not to use the power is not the same thing as not having it. A future commission might change its mind, and in the meantime ISPs would have to plan their investments accordingly — knowing that the revenue they'd counted on to make some new project pay off might vanish at the stroke of a commissioner's pen. That kind of regulatory uncertainty does not generally foster innovation, or for that matter, sound business decisions.
Unsurprising, then, that under Pai, the commission quickly announced a proposal to roll back the Obama-era innovations. A contentious public comment period followed, but now the FCC has announced the final word: Tier II regulation of ISPs is going away, and the net neutrality rules with it.
The internet will be filled with denunciations of this move, threats of a dark future in which our access to content will be controlled by a few powerful companies. And, sure, that may happen. But, in fact, it may already have happened, led not by ISPs, but by the very companies that were fighting so hard for net neutrality.