After Donald Trump's surprising victory over Hillary Clinton four years ago, some people are wary of what the polls are saying about the 2020 election.
Nearly every national poll shows Joe Biden with a hefty lead over Trump. But national presidential polls are equivalent to asking people all over the country to weigh in on who should be mayor of Chicago.
Seventeen battleground states will determine who lands in the White House. It doesn't matter who the majority of Americans want. The Electoral College decides, so a handful of voters in a few states could once again end up picking the winner.
There are several predictors floating around that might give us a sneak peek into what will happen next week. Everything from Halloween masks, coffee cups, first lady cookie recipes and measuring the candidates' heights have been used previously to provide an early indication of who's going to win on Election Day.
Some have impressive records for choosing the winner for several presidential elections running. Trump, however, has thrown some of them off.
The unpredictability of Trump, coupled with the coronavirus pandemic that has thrown the entire country off track, have made some of these unusual methods less reliable than they were in the past. Take them with a grain of salt.
Some observers are even questioning whether historian Allan Lichtman's "13 Keys to the White House" can accurately predict the outcome this year.
Lichtman has correctly predicted every presidential race since Ronald Reagan's re-election in 1984. (There was that one time in 2000, however, when he predicted Al Gore would defeat George W. Bush. But Lichtman insists he was correct since Gore won the popular vote. You can judge for yourself.)