While the rest of the Big Ten has resembled a chaotic wilderness, with low-expectation teams topping the league and vice versa, Ohio State is still, well, Ohio State.
The eight-time national champ, with three College Football Playoff appearances in the past five years, has sailed through a high-scoring season, including handing its toughest East division opponent, Indiana, its first lost of the year at 42-35 last weekend.
Through four games this season, the Buckeyes rank seventh in the nation in scoring, averaging 45.3 points, and eighth with 535.3 yards per game. Quarterback Justin Fields, a Heisman Trophy contender, leads the country completing 79.6% of his passes for 1,208 yards and 13 touchdowns with three interceptions, all against Indiana.
But for as locked in as they seem for a 39th Big Ten title come Dec. 19, even potentially against a fellow undefeated opponent in Northwestern, the Buckeyes seem to have only a precarious hold on a national semifinal.
The first CFP rankings debuted Tuesday, putting No. 1 Alabama (7-0), No. 2 Notre Dame (8-0) and No. 3 Clemson (7-1) ahead of No. 4 Ohio State for the four spots.
Per Gary Barta, the Iowa athletic director serving as CFP selection committee chair, the Buckeyes offense is undeniably dynamic and loaded. But the committee had reservations about other aspects of Ohio State.
The defense, for one, has allowed an average of 26 points and 389.5 yards per game, ranking it about 50th of 127 FBS teams. Barta said the committee plans to observe that side of the ball critically in coming weeks.
Another issue is Ohio State's Big Ten-only shortened and delayed schedule, with a game against Maryland already canceled because of a COVID-19 outbreak on the Terrapins.