Eighth-grade chemistry was not very memorable except for two things: our teacher said worsh instead of wash and we had a project called "sludge" where we had to determine what was in a glob we were given by heating it, cooling it and filtering it. Things weren't going particularly well even before my lab partner handed me the sludge and I dropped it.
The new tax proposals remind me of our sludge experiment. Congress and President Joe Biden are coming up with all sorts of tax changes, so let's look at what's heating up, cooling down and what we filter.
Top tax rates are definitely heating up. The proposals are calling for increases in corporate taxes, personal income taxes, estate taxes and capital-gains taxes.
We don't know what is going to pass, but there is enough movement in this direction that you have to assume over the next couple of years that taxes are rising.
The other thing that is heating up is enforcement. No matter how you feel about the IRS and taxes, money spent on enforcement typically garners a pretty good return. One way to pay for some of the money spent on other proposals is to not only increase taxes, but to also collect them.
How you filter what to do in preparation for tax changes is complicated.
Rhetoric signals what is more likely to occur. If tax rates are going up, then you want to determine when it makes sense to defer taxes and when to accelerate them.
If your taxes are going to be higher in retirement, then Roth contributions are more attractive. Higher future taxes enhances the value of the tax-free withdrawal benefits from 529 education plans.