Home prices expected to rise 5.4 percent by next year

House prices in the Twin Cities posted an annual increase of 4.3 percent during November 2015

January 5, 2016 at 4:26PM
FILE - This Oct. 20, 2009, file photo, shows a home with a reduced price for sale in Carmel, Ind., neighborhood. Short of cash and unsettled in their careers, young Americans are waiting longer than ever to buy their first homes. The delay reflects a trend that cuts to the heart of the financial challenges facing millennials: Renters are struggling to save for down payments.
FILE - This Oct. 20, 2009, file photo, shows a home for sale in Carmel, Ind., neighborhood. (Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Home prices in the Twin Cities metro at the end of last year rose slightly slower than the national average, according to the latest CoreLogic US Home Price Report. During November, metro-area prices increased 4.3 percent from the previous year compared with 6.3 percent nationally. Across the country prices are expected to increase 5.4 percent by November 2016. Those local and national figures are consistent with other reports, which shows price gains moderating over the coming year as higher home prices, rising mortgage rates and inventory constraints put more presure on the market. The data is for single-family houses and includes distressed sales.

Here's an analysis of the situation from Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic: "Heading into 2016, home price growth remains in its sweet spot as prices have increased between 5 and 6 percent on a year-over-year basis for 16 consecutive months," he said. "Regionally we are beginning to see fissures, with slowdowns in some Texas and California markets, but the northwest and southeast remain on solid footing."

And from Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic: "Many factors, including strong demand and tight supply in many markets, are contributing to the long-sustained boom in prices and home equity which is a very good thing for those owning homes," said . "On the flip side, prices have outstripped incomes for several years in a number of regions so, as we enter 2016, affordability is becoming more of a constraint on sales in some markets."

about the writer

about the writer

Jim Buchta

Reporter

Jim Buchta has covered real estate for the Star Tribune for several years. He also has covered energy, small business, consumer affairs and travel.

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